Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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338
FNUS72 KTBW 171809
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for CC10...Florida State Parks (DEP)
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
209 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on June 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Drier air remains in place across the region keeping lower rain
chances at the site today. Moisture should increase slightly on
Wednesday, which should support more storm coverage. Southeasterly
winds prevail and under this flow showers and storms develop later
in the afternoon and evening. Humidity remains above critical values.

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      3 AM   5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM
Sky (%).........26     37     30     39     50     53
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      30     30     30     50     50
Temp............77     81     87     90     90     89
RH..............87     84     66     60     61     66
20 ft wind......E 7    E 7    SE 8   S 9    S 9    SW 9
20 ft wind gust.12     12     12     13     13     13
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1500   3800   4400   3600   2100
Transport wind..E 7    SE 9   SE 10  SE 9   S 9    SW 10
Dispersion idx..5      21     45     49     41     26
LVORI...........6      4      2      1      1      2

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT
Sky (%).........54     53     57     56     50     51
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50     30     30     30     10     10
Temp............88     84     82     80     78     77
RH..............67     77     82     86     88     90
20 ft wind......SW 8   S 7    S 5    SE 5   SE 6   E 5
20 ft wind gust.12     9      9      9      9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   1100   900    700    500    500
Transport wind..S 9    S 7    SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   E 6
Dispersion idx..18     5      3      4      4      4
LVORI...........3      4      5      5      5      6

.JUNETEENTH...
TIME (EDT)      2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON
Sky (%).........46     35     30     29     33     47
Weather cov.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     20     20     40     40
Temp............77     78     84     89     90     89
RH..............91     89     76     65     61     66
20 ft wind......E 5    E 6    SE 6   SE 7   S 7    SW 8
20 ft wind gust.9      9      9      10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....600    800    2800   4200   5000   3100
Transport wind..E 7    E 7    SE 7   SE 7   SE 6   S 8
Dispersion idx..4      8      24     37     37     28
LVORI...........6      5      3      3      1      3

$$
Forecaster...RDavis
Requested by...Tay Smith
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2516116.0/TBW
.DELDT 06/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL taylor.l.smith@floridadep.gov