Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FNUS72 KTBW 112054
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Spot Forecast for EB-08 Prescribed Fire...FDEP
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
354 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on November 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

A very dry airmass is in place with minimum RH values in
the low 20s into the evening hours. This combined
with gusty NE winds will support Red Flag conditions through
6 PM this evening before humidity values recover overnight.
While the airmass on Wednesday will still remain dry, minimum
RH values are not expected to be nearly as low as today so the
fire danger will be less tomorrow with minimum RH values reaching
the low 40s Wednesday afternoon. In addition, winds will remain
out of the NE on Wednesday and won`t be nearly as breezy as today
with wind speeds around 5-10 mph throughout the day. No
precipitation is expected through the period as high pressure
remains in control.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....19 increasing to 34 early in the afternoon,
                    then increasing to 41 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 28 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........26     25     31     28     32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
Temp............58     67     73     75     73
RH..............68     56     50     46     50
20 ft wind......N 8    N 8    N 8    N 8    N 7
20 ft wind gust.12     12     12     12     10
Mix hgt (ft)....700    2100   3900   4300   2600
Transport wind..NE 13  NE 10  NE 8   NE 8   E 8
Dispersion idx..14     23     37     42     28
LVORI...........3      2      1      1      2

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....15 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........38     31     42     41     38     33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............71     65     62     59     57     56
RH..............54     66     75     82     84     81
20 ft wind......N 6    N 6    N 6    N 6    N 6    N 6
20 ft wind gust.9      8      7      7      8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....800    500    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..NE 9   NE 9   NE 10  NE 10  NE 10  NE 10
Dispersion idx..15     3      7      6      5      5
LVORI...........3      3      3      4      4      4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 25 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 37 late in the morning increasing
                    to 41 late in the afternoon decreasing to 28.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........30     25     19     16     13     9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............55     59     68     74     77     77
RH..............82     61     50     44     41     41
20 ft wind......N 7    N 8    N 8    N 8    N 7    N 7
20 ft wind gust.9      10     10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....400    900    1800   3400   4000   3800
Transport wind..NE 12  NE 12  NE 12  NE 10  NE 8   NE 8
Dispersion idx..8      16     27     40     45     36
LVORI...........3      2      1      1      1      2

$$
Forecaster...Giarratana
Requested by...Rebecca Thornhill
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525616.0/TBW
.DELDT 11/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Rebecca.Thornhill@floridadep.gov