Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
614
FNUS72 KTBW 141228
FWSTBW
Spot Forecast for Dprx...Manatee County government
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
828 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
An upper level trough will start to push through the state this afternoon.
This will increase shower chances starting in the late morning hours.
Winds will be mainly out of the west around 10 mph with gust near
15.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated showers
and thunderstorms late in the morning, then
numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms
late in the morning. Widespread showers and
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....17 increasing to 30 late in the morning, then
increasing to 42 late in the morning decreasing
to 30 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........39 40 52 54 59 64 63 70 73
Weather cov.....ISO ISO NUM NUM NUM WID WID WID WID
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT WID WID WID WID
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 60 60 60 80 80 80 80
Temp............80 83 85 87 88 88 90 87 85
RH..............89 81 77 71 70 68 63 69 72
20 FT wind dir..W W W W NW NW W W W
20 FT wind spd..6 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.10 12 13 13 14 14 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 2.3 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.0
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.8 10 10 13 13 13 14 14 10
Dispersion idx..17 30 41 45 45 42 38 33 26
LVORI...........5 3 3 3 2 1 2 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Widespread
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
then scattered showers and thunderstorms early
in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the
northwest 5 to 6 mph late in the evening, then
becoming light overnight. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 12 mph shifting to the west 5 to 7
mph late in the evening, then shifting to the
northwest 3 to 6 mph overnight shifting to the
northeast around 3 mph early in the morning.
Dispersion index....16 decreasing to 4 early in the evening.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%).........78 81 85 81 79 75 66 65 60 44 28 26
Weather cov.....WID WID SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........WID WID SCT SCT SCT
Chc of pcpn (%).80 80 40 40 40 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............83 79 77 75 75 74 74 74 74 73 73 73
RH..............76 86 92 95 94 94 97 97 97 99 100 98
20 FT wind dir..N N N NW NW W W NW W W NW N
20 FT wind spd..8 7 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.13 12 10 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.3
Transp wind dir.N N N W NW NW NW W NW N N NE
Transp wind spd.12 10 9 6 7 5 6 6 5 3 5 3
Dispersion idx..19 12 6 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 2
LVORI...........3 4 6 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 10 10
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms late in the
morning, then widespread showers and
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph late in
the morning, then shifting to the southeast 6
to 7 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
morning.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 5 mph shifting to the southwest
around 5 mph late in the morning, then shifting
to the southeast early in the afternoon
shifting to the south early in the afternoon
shifting to the southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 25.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EDT) 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........30 29 29 33 38 42 44 45 46 52 58 64
Weather cov..... ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT WID WID WID WID
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT WID WID WID WID
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 20 20 20 30 30 30 90 90 90 90
Temp............73 72 75 78 81 84 87 89 89 89 88 86
RH..............100 100 97 88 81 75 69 65 63 64 67 71
20 FT wind dir..N N NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 6
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 10 10 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.5 3.3 3.7 4.1 3.2 2.3 1.4
Transp wind dir.E E E E SE SW SE S W SW SW S
Transp wind spd.3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 6 8 9 12
Dispersion idx..2 2 4 7 11 16 21 26 28 28 25 22
LVORI...........10 9 7 6 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 3
$$
Forecaster...Shiveley
Requested by...Mark proch
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2517961.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mark.proch@mymanatee.org