Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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836
FNUS72 KTBW 171024
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for EB-26A & EB-26B...FDEP
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
624 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on June 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Drier air is filtering in to lower overall thunderstorm coverage for
the first half of the week. However, low-level moisture will remain
sufficient to keep RH values well above critical thresholds. As
such, there are no significant fire weather concerns.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    south late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph shifting to the south
                    around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....22 increasing to 38 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 50 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 33 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........20     31     38     50     53
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     20     50
Temp............81     87     88     89     88
RH..............79     65     60     59     63
20 ft wind......SE 8   SE 10  S 10   S 12   S 13
20 ft wind gust.10     13     14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....1700   3800   4700   3600   2600
Transport wind..SE 10  SE 10  SE 10  S 9    S 10
Dispersion idx..22     50     54     45     29
LVORI...........4      2      1      1      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 12 mph shifting to the east 5
                    to 7 mph late in the evening. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast
                    overnight.
Dispersion index....17 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........52     55     55     48     21     25
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60     30     30     20     10     10
Temp............86     83     81     79     78     76
RH..............66     74     80     83     86     89
20 ft wind......S 12   S 8    SE 7   SE 7   E 6    E 5
20 ft wind gust.13     10     9      9      9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....2300   1100   800    500    600    500
Transport wind..S 9    S 8    S 7    SE 7   E 9    SE 8
Dispersion idx..21     7      4      5      4      3
LVORI...........3      3      4      5      5      6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms
                    late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the south
                    around 9 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 10 mph shifting to the south
                    around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 21 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 35 late in the morning increasing
                    to 48 late in the morning decreasing to 36
                    decreasing to 25 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........30     20     39     33     45     55
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      30     30     30     40     40
Temp............76     77     85     89     90     88
RH..............87     91     77     67     66     70
20 ft wind......E 6    E 7    SE 7   SE 8   S 9    S 9
20 ft wind gust.9      10     12     13     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....500    700    2700   4600   4200   2600
Transport wind..E 7    E 8    SE 10  SE 9   SE 9   S 10
Dispersion idx..3      9      35     50     45     33
LVORI...........6      5      3      1      1      3

$$
Forecaster...Flannery
Requested by...Rebecca Thornhill
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2516098.0/TBW
.DELDT 06/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Rebecca.Thornhill@floridadep.gov