683
FNUS72 KTBW 111229
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for Ellis RX...USFWS
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
729 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on December 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will push through this morning bringing cooler and drier
air across the area. Winds will be out of the north and northwest
through the day between 5 to 10 mph. Dispersion will increase to
around the mid 50`s by afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....26 increasing to 43 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 51 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 41 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 29.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  33  26  15  8   4   2   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............61  65  67  69  69  70  70  68  65
RH..............80  72  67  60  57  53  51  50  53
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   8   9   9   8   8   6
20 FT wind gust.10  13  14  15  16  16  16  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.2 0.9
Transp wind dir.N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Transp wind spd.15  13  14  14  15  14  14  10  8
Dispersion idx..22  30  39  47  52  53  49  41  29
LVORI...........3   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....14 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   2   0   0   1   2   1   2   3   2   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............61  57  55  53  51  49  48  46  46  44  45  44
RH..............60  65  67  71  72  76  81  84  85  88  84  88
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..5   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.9   7   7   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   7   7   7   6   5   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..14  3   0   1   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   6

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 5 to 6 mph late in the morning, then
                    shifting to the south 3 to 5 mph late in the
                    afternoon shifting to the southeast around 3
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 13 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   2   0   1   2   3   3   4   5   6   6   10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............44  44  48  54  61  66  70  72  74  75  74  70
RH..............88  87  82  70  57  48  43  41  39  39  42  48
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..5   6   6   7   8   11  14  16  16  15  13  9
LVORI...........6   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Wynn
Requested by...K. Grodi
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527479.0/TBW
.DELDT 12/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kevin_grodi@fws.gov