923
FNUS72 KTBW 081133
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for AFP 1b rx...CELM
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
733 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on October 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Strong easterly winds will continue today however some drier air will
be filtering into the region. This will keep rainshowers out of the
forecast for the burn area. We can expect wind speed to remain
around 10 to 15 mph out of the east during the afternoon hours.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 24 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 39 late in the morning increasing
                    to 55 late in the morning decreasing to 44.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........8      16     28     24     22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10
Temp............72     80     86     88     89
RH..............97     85     73     68     66
20 ft wind......NE 7   NE 10  NE 12  NE 12  NE 14
20 ft wind gust.12     15     17     18     21
Mix hgt (ft)....600    2000   3400   4300   4000
Transport wind..NE 12  E 16   E 15   E 15   E 15
Dispersion idx..12     39     57     57     48
LVORI...........6      4      3      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....29 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........24     35     24     25     34     33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............87     81     78     76     73     73
RH..............68     76     84     89     94     94
20 ft wind......NE 15  NE 12  NE 10  NE 9   NE 7   NE 8
20 ft wind gust.22     20     17     15     13     13
Mix hgt (ft)....2500   600    600    500    500    700
Transport wind..E 15   E 14   E 13   NE 13  NE 12  NE 12
Dispersion idx..29     9      7      7      5      8
LVORI...........3      4      4      5      6      6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 17 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 13 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 27 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 49 late in the morning increasing
                    to 66 late in the morning decreasing to 55.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........39     46     46     47     54     55
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     20     20
Temp............72     73     80     86     87     86
RH..............95     98     86     73     70     71
20 ft wind......NE 8   NE 9   NE 12  NE 13  NE 14  NE 16
20 ft wind gust.14     14     17     20     21     24
Mix hgt (ft)....500    700    2500   3700   4600   4100
Transport wind..N 13   N 13   NE 18  NE 20  NE 20  NE 20
Dispersion idx..6      10     49     70     62     58
LVORI...........6      8      4      3      1      3

$$
Forecaster...Shiveley
Requested by...Nick Alfano
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523154.0/TBW
.DELDT 10/08/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alfanon@hillsboroughcounty.org