938
FNUS72 KTBW 300707
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for GS2026F2...SWFWMD
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
307 AM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on September 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
As high pressure sets up northeast of Florida, southeast winds will
increase and turn to easterly by Thursday. With increasing moisture,
scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon,
then numerous storm coverage is excepted Thursday afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated showers
                    early in the afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon. Scattered showers late
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 29 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 39 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 29 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........43     51     60     67     69
Weather cov.....                     SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     30     30
Temp............74     82     87     89     86
RH..............90     69     59     55     60
20 ft wind......SE 2   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 5
20 ft wind gust.5      9      12     10     9
Mix hgt (ft)....700    2900   4500   5200   3400
Transport wind..SE 3   SE 7   SE 8   SE 6   E 7
Dispersion idx..9      25     39     40     29
LVORI...........6      2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
                    showers early in the evening. Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Isolated showers
                    late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....16 decreasing to 4 early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........72     74     57     60     46     47
Weather cov.....SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).30     30     20     10     0      0
Temp............85     78     76     75     73     73
RH..............63     78     85     89     93     94
20 ft wind......E 5    E 6    SE 6   E 6    E 5    E 5
20 ft wind gust.9      9      9      9      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....2100   900    500    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 7    E 8    E 8    SE 6   E 7    SE 7
Dispersion idx..20     5      4      5      5      5
LVORI...........2      4      5      5      6      6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    early in the afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon. Scattered showers late
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 15 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 27 late in the morning increasing
                    to 41 late in the morning decreasing to 31.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........43     25     37     45     49     58
Weather cov.....                            ISOLTD SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      20     40
Temp............72     73     81     87     89     87
RH..............95     97     81     65     59     65
20 ft wind......E 5    E 6    E 8    E 10   E 10   E 9
20 ft wind gust.8      9      13     16     18     17
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    2100   3600   4400   3600
Transport wind..E 7    E 6    E 10   E 12   E 12   SE 10
Dispersion idx..3      6      27     42     45     38
LVORI...........7      6      3      1      1      2

$$
Forecaster...Fleming
Requested by...Chris Green
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622804.0/TBW
.DELDT 09/30/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL chris.green@swfwmd.state.fl.us