Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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650
FNUS72 KTBW 111229
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for HC-LGS-31...HC-ELM
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
829 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on June 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Deep tropical moisture continues to surge into the area and interact
with a frontal boundary to the north. With these ingredients in place,
multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms will occur throughout the
day with locally torrential downpours possible. Given the tropical
nature to the atmosphere today, low mixing heights are expected but steady
transport winds should allow for at least fair dispersion conditions to
develop, particularly during lulls in any precipitation activity.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........70     74     80     80     75
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).90     100    80     70     60
LAL.............4      4      4      3      3
Temp............77     81     82     83     82
RH..............93     84     82     80     81
20 ft wind......S 5    S 7    S 8    S 9    S 8
20 ft wind gust.9      13     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   1800   2300   2600   2300
Transport wind..S 13   S 15   S 18   S 20   SW 17
Dispersion idx..21     33     49     55     47
LVORI...........4      4      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........74     57     56     54     55     44
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60     60     60     40     30     40
LAL.............3      3      3      2      2      2
Temp............82     80     78     76     76     75
RH..............81     87     90     92     93     95
20 ft wind......S 8    S 7    S 7    S 6    S 6    S 6
20 ft wind gust.14     14     12     12     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....2200   1400   1200   1200   1300   700
Transport wind..S 16   S 15   S 15   S 15   S 12   S 10
Dispersion idx..36     12     10     10     8      6
LVORI...........3      4      5      6      6      6

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........58     59     64     65     62     57
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).50     70     70     80     80     80
LAL.............2      3      3      4      4      4
Temp............75     76     81     83     85     85
RH..............98     95     86     81     78     78
20 ft wind......SE 6   S 7    S 8    S 8    SW 9   SW 8
20 ft wind gust.12     12     14     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....400    800    1800   2700   3300   2500
Transport wind..S 10   S 13   SW 13  SW 13  SW 13  SW 13
Dispersion idx..7      13     28     42     49     40
LVORI...........8      5      4      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Giarratana
Requested by...HC-ELM
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415941.0/TBW
.DELDT 06/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL raymonds@hcflgov.net