Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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062
FNUS72 KTBW 151138
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for Northern Flatwoods...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
738 AM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0828 EDT on June 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure in the Atlantic combined with abundant
moisture will continue to support precipitation chances as
scattered showers and storms are expected to develop again
today. Highest rain chances should occur by the early afternoon
to mid evening hours with southerly winds this morning gradually
shifting southwesterly later today with winds around 5-10 mph
and minimum RH values generally remaining above 60 percent. In
addition,poor to fair dispersion conditions are expected due to
relatively low mixing heights remaining below 4000 ft and weak
transport winds.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........45     47     56     60     57
Weather cov.....       S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     40     60     80
Temp............77     82     86     91     86
RH..............91     81     71     60     69
20 ft wind......S 2    S 5    S 6    S 6    SW 6
20 ft wind gust.6      7      9      12     10
Mix hgt (ft)....900    2200   3900   3900   2600
Transport wind..S 8    S 9    S 8    SW 7   W 8
Dispersion idx..9      26     36     33     25
LVORI...........5      3      3      1      3

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........63     62     51     50     40     33
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60     40     20     20     10     0
Temp............84     81     78     77     75     74
RH..............74     82     86     90     92     94
20 ft wind......SW 5   W 3    S 2    S 2    SE 1   SE 1
20 ft wind gust.7      6      3             3      3
Mix hgt (ft)....1500   500    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..W 6    W 5    S 2    S 3    S 3    S 3
Dispersion idx..13     2      1      1      2      1
LVORI...........3      5      6      7      7      9

.MONDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........31     24     18     41     50     53
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).0      40     40     40     60     60
Temp............75     76     83     88     89     89
RH..............94     97     84     72     68     68
20 ft wind......SE 2   S 2    S 3    S 5    SW 6   W 5
20 ft wind gust.3      6      7      9      12     9
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    2400   4300   4000   2700
Transport wind..SE 1   S 5    S 5    S 6    S 6    SW 7
Dispersion idx..1      4      16     26     29     23
LVORI...........7      7      4      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Giarratana
Requested by...Bill Gruber
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515568.4/TBW
.DELDT 06/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bill.gruber@floridadep.gov