251
FNUS72 KTBW 011152
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for LGS-3...Hillsborough CELM
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
752 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on October 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Moisture is returning today which means our afternoon and evening
scattered showers chances will also be returning. Winds will be
out of the east and southeast with gust up to 20 knots by the
afternoon hours.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Numerous showers
                    and isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 22 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 36 late in the morning increasing
                    to 45 late in the morning decreasing to 32
                    decreasing to 22 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  46  48  47  68  71  71  72  72  77
Weather cov.....                    ISO SCT NUM NUM NUM
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  20  50  60  60  60
Temp............73  77  80  84  85  86  88  86  85  83
RH..............96  91  83  75  71  69  66  69  73  78
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   9   10  13  13  13  13  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.14  16  17  20  21  21  21  21  21  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.2 1.8 2.5 3.1 3.5 3.5 3.3 2.6 1.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
Transp wind spd.10  14  15  16  16  16  14  14  13  13
Dispersion idx..11  22  36  46  47  42  36  32  27  22
LVORI...........6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Numerous showers
                    and isolated thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....12 decreasing to 7 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........83  84  85  74  70  59  65  67  68  68  64  60
Weather cov.....NUM NUM SCT ISO ISO
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  30  20  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
Temp............80  78  77  76  75  75  74  74  74  74  74  74
RH..............85  88  92  94  95  96  96  97  96  98  97  97
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.18  16  15  14  14  13  13  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  10  9   10  12  12  10  12  10  10  10  9
Dispersion idx..16  11  7   6   7   8   8   7   7   7   6   6
LVORI...........4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   8

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Numerous showers
                    early in the afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon. Scattered showers late
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 18 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 34 in the late morning and early
                    afternoon decreasing to 24 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66  56  57  47  45  53  56  59  68  62  64  66
Weather cov.....                                NUM SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                ISO ISO ISO ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  60  50  50  50
Temp............74  74  75  77  82  84  86  88  86  87  86  83
RH..............98  98  98  94  84  80  75  70  72  72  74  81
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   8   9   9   10  9   9   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  15  15  17  17  17  17  16  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.0 2.3 1.8 1.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.10  10  9   12  13  13  14  12  10  8   8   9
Dispersion idx..6   6   10  18  29  36  38  36  32  28  24  19
LVORI...........9   9   8   6   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Shiveley
Requested by...Rebecca Winch
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622907.0/TBW
.DELDT 10/01/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL WinchR@HCFL.Gov