Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
741
FNUS72 KTBW 071337
FWSTBW
Spot Forecast for South Fence...USFWS
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
837 AM EST Sun Dec 7 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on December 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Rain chances increase through the day as a frontal boundary slowly
sinks south into the region. A line of storms is forecast to develop
later today, moving into the region overnight. There is a risk or
severe weather to accompany these storms, with gusty winds being
the primary concern. Conditions will gradually improve through the
day tomorrow. However, winds will begin to shift from a SSW
direction to a W and eventually N direction as the speeds
gradually increase. No fire weather concerns with ample moisture
in the area ahead of approaching storms today. Showers will linger
into tomorrow.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
showers early in the afternoon. Slight chance
of thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance
of showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 10 mph shifting to the
southwest 9 to 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....28 increasing to 41 late in the morning, then
increasing to 58 early in the afternoon
decreasing to 48 late in the afternoon
decreasing to 35.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44 46 42 39 48 48 58 59
Weather cov..... SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 10 20 20 30 40
Temp............78 80 82 84 84 84 83 80
RH..............78 73 66 61 61 62 64 72
20 FT wind dir..S S S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..6 8 8 9 9 10 10 9
20 FT wind gust.12 14 15 16 17 18 17 16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.5 3.0 3.6 3.9 3.2 2.5 1.0
Transp wind dir.S S S S SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.13 15 15 17 18 18 17 14
Dispersion idx..28 41 53 61 62 57 48 35
LVORI...........4 3 2 1 1 1 2 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers in the evening. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the night. Showers likely
overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 14 mph shifting to the northwest 9
to 10 mph overnight, then shifting to the
southwest around 9 mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....20 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........65 60 64 75 76 74 76 80 80 78 78 75
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40 50 50 50 40 50 50 60 40 30 30 30
Temp............76 73 71 70 70 69 69 68 68 68 67 67
RH..............85 92 97 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 99
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
20 FT wind spd..7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.15 13 13 12 12 12 10 12 10 12 12 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW W W W W NW NW SW SW
Transp wind spd.12 13 13 12 13 14 13 12 10 9 9 9
Dispersion idx..20 8 5 7 9 9 9 8 7 6 6 6
LVORI...........4 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms early in the morning. Chance of
showers in the morning, then slight chance of
showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 10 mph shifting to the
northwest 9 to 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 15 mph shifting to the northwest 14
to 15 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 20 late in the morning, then
increasing to 31 in the afternoon decreasing to
22 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77 78 70 73 79 79 78 78 76 75 73 72
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 50 20 20 20 20 20
Temp............67 67 69 72 74 76 75 76 76 75 75 72
RH..............100 100 100 97 91 84 85 82 81 80 79 83
20 FT wind dir..W NW W W W W W NW NW NW NW N
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9
20 FT wind gust.10 10 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 18 18 17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.3 2.8 2.5 2.2 2.0 1.5
Transp wind dir.W W W SW W W W NW NW NW NW N
Transp wind spd.9 8 8 12 12 12 13 14 15 15 15 14
Dispersion idx..7 8 10 13 17 22 28 32 33 32 28 22
LVORI...........8 8 7 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4
$$
Forecaster...Flannery
Requested by...K Grodi
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527126.0/TBW
.DELDT 12/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kevin_grodi@fws.gov