Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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353
FNUS72 KTBW 160941
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for SFWMD - Huckleberry Island 2...South Florida Water Management District
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
541 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on June 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Ridging to our north will keep winds mainly out of the south through
the day with speeds generally below 10 knots. Scattered showers and
storms will be possible mainly in the evening hours.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
                    Showers and thunderstorms likely late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....33 increasing to 39 late in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 30 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........27     25     32     38
Weather cov.....              CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              CHANCE LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     40     60
Temp............86     88     90     90
RH..............68     59     54     54
20 ft wind......S 6    S 6    S 7    S 7
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10     9
Mix hgt (ft)....3800   5000   6100   5500
Transport wind..S 6    S 6    S 6    S 5
Dispersion idx..30     40     40     30
LVORI...........2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    clear (0-10 percent). Showers and thunderstorms
                    likely early in the evening, then slight chance
                    of thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight
                    chance of showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the north 6
                    to 8 mph early in the evening, then shifting to
                    the northeast around 5 mph late in the evening
                    shifting to the southeast 6 to 7 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....17 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........40     45     34     29     9      4
Weather cov.....LIKELY S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........LIKELY S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60     20     20     20     10     10
Temp............88     84     81     79     77     76
RH..............58     69     77     83     86     88
20 ft wind......S 6    SE 6   SE 6   SE 5   SE 5   S 3
20 ft wind gust.9      8      7      7      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....4500   800    800    500    500    500
Transport wind..S 5    N 7    N 6    SE 6   S 6    SE 7
Dispersion idx..21     4      1      2      3      2
LVORI...........2      3      4      5      6      7

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of showers late
                    in the afternoon. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 45.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........5      5      4      9      17     25
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     40     40
Temp............76     77     85     90     92     92
RH..............88     90     71     56     51     48
20 ft wind......S 3    S 3    S 5    S 6    S 6    SE 6
20 ft wind gust.7      7      8      10     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1100   2900   4500   5800   6400
Transport wind..S 7    S 10   S 8    S 7    S 6    SE 5
Dispersion idx..5      14     32     42     42     49
LVORI...........5      5      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Shiveley
Requested by...James Blush
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2516024.0/TBW
.DELDT 06/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jblush@sfwmd.gov