997
FNUS72 KTBW 071131
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for CP2025S3...SWFWMD
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
731 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on October 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A strong easterly flow will remain in place today with winds around
10 to 15 mph. There will be a few passing showers in the afternoon
but they will be quick moving. The gusty winds will keep dispersion
on the higher side topping out in the mid 60`s.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Scattered showers
                    and isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 28 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 46 late in the morning increasing
                    to 63 late in the morning decreasing to 48.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........27     16     36     38     44
Weather cov.....                     SCTTRD ISOLTD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      10     30     20
Temp............74     81     86     86     86
RH..............93     83     73     73     70
20 ft wind......NE 7   E 10   E 13   E 13   E 14
20 ft wind gust.13     16     18     21     24
Mix hgt (ft)....600    2400   3500   3400   3000
Transport wind..E 13   E 18   E 20   E 18   E 17
Dispersion idx..13     46     66     62     52
LVORI...........5      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....32 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........32     24     17     14     15     13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
Temp............85     80     77     74     73     72
RH..............70     80     84     88     91     95
20 ft wind......E 14   E 10   E 10   E 8    NE 6   NE 6
20 ft wind gust.22     18     17     14     10     9
Mix hgt (ft)....2500   500    500    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 17   E 14   E 13   E 13   E 10   E 12
Dispersion idx..32     9      7      7      5      4
LVORI...........3      4      4      5      6      7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Isolated thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon. Isolated showers late in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 62.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........13     15     16     22     29     32
Weather cov.....                            ISOLTD ISOLTD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      20     20
Temp............71     71     79     85     88     89
RH..............94     96     84     71     63     61
20 ft wind......NE 6   NE 6   NE 8   NE 9   NE 10  NE 12
20 ft wind gust.10     10     14     15     17     18
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    2000   3600   5300   4700
Transport wind..NE 9   NE 12  E 15   E 15   E 13   NE 15
Dispersion idx..5      12     36     51     54     63
LVORI...........6      5      4      3      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Shiveley
Requested by...Brian Hale
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523074.0/TBW
.DELDT 10/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brian.hale@swfwmd.state.fl.us