718
FXUS65 KTFX 011919
AFDTFX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
119 PM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Fluctuating temperatures throughout this forecast period, with
   Monday being the warmest day.

 - Little to no precipitation chances through the end of the next
   work week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

 - Meteorological Overview:

A roller coaster of temperatures is the theme for this forecast.
While today will be the coldest day of the forecast period, weak
ridging aloft will allow temperatures to warm into the mid to
upper 70s tomorrow. A mild shortwave will move through the upper
level flow, allowing temperatures to briefly cool down on
Saturday. Ridging aloft will once again build on Sunday lasting
into Monday, allowing yet another rise in temperatures. Monday is
currently looking to be the warmest day, with highs in the low to
upper 80s. A mild upper level trough will move just north of
Montana on Tuesday, creating north-westerly flow aloft through the
rest of the forecast period. This will allow temperatures to
relatively stabilize, with highs in the mid to upper 70s Tuesday
through the rest of the work week. While this forecast period is
expected to remain dry, the next chance for precipitation may be next
weekend, as a more robust upper level trough and increased
moisture aloft moves in.

 - Forecast Confidence & Scenarios:

The weather during this forecast period is expected to be mild,
with the potential for record high temperatures and fire weather
concerns on Monday being the biggest impact. -Dzomba

&&

.AVIATION...
01/18Z TAF Period.

The initial concern this TAF period will be for a few isolated
showers this afternoon over the plains. Otherwise the primary
concern will be for winds increasing over the plains mid-morning
Friday. -AM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  44  78  47  69 /   0   0   0   0
CTB  39  71  41  64 /   0   0   0   0
HLN  43  76  43  71 /   0   0   0   0
BZN  40  76  42  71 /   0   0   0   0
WYS  33  68  33  70 /   0   0   0   0
DLN  42  78  42  74 /   0   0   0   0
HVR  39  76  42  68 /   0   0  10   0
LWT  41  77  46  67 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$
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