031
FNUS75 KTFX 141622
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Two Calf RX...BLM
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1022 AM MDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 MDT on June 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Morning rain showers have ended. However, there is a 20 percent
chance for a passing thunderstorm late tonight. It does turn windy
by Saturday afternoon.  Another round of thunderstorms is possible
Saturday afternoon. It does turn cooler as well for Sat/Sun.
Rainfall amounts are light thru Monday, with the potential for
about 0.50 to 1 inch of liquid Monday night thru Tue.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....85-90.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph, with gusts
                    near 25 mph.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms through the night. Chance of
                    showers overnight.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....57-62.
Max humidity........41-46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers in the morning, then showers likely and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................50 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....77-82.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds near 10 mph becoming west
                    at 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Brusda
Requested by...Erik Rathmann
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416130.0/TFX
.DELDT 06/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL MTLEC@firenet.gov