Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT

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FNUS75 KTFX 131146
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Queen Gulch...MTHDC
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
546 AM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on August 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will affect the burn
area today. Precipitation amounts of 0.10 to 0.30 look possible
today. It will be much cooler. Expect scattered showers/isolated
thunderstorms tonight into Friday as well. It turns warmer over
the weekend, with daily chances for afternoon thunderstorms.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy smoke
                    early in the morning. Rain showers likely and
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...37 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds near thunderstorms.
 Ridgetop...........Southeast 0 to 5 mph shifting to the north
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........91  85  77  81  77  68  61  60  63  70  78
Weather cov.....PTY PTY                 SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....SMK SMK                 RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  40  40  40
Temp............49  49  48  50  52  54  55  56  56  56  55
RH..............83  87  89  82  77  71  69  64  64  67  71
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   SE  S   S   SW  SW  SE  NW  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.    10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15
Ridge wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   N   N   N   NE
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   0   0   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.0 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.5 3.5 4.0 3.0 3.0
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   SE  SE  SE  N   N   W   N   NE
Transp wind spd.10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    rain showers likely overnight.
CWR.................90 percent decreasing to 35 percent overnight.
Chance of thunder...39 percent.
Min temperature.....44-49.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
 Ridgetop...........East 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    late in the evening, then shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........96  97  94  91  99  84  85  89  79  69  61  74
Weather cov.....DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............90  90  90  90  90  90  40  40  40  40  40  40
Chc of thdr (%).40  40  40  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............55  54  51  50  49  49  49  50  50  50  50  50
RH..............72  78  82  87  90  86  85  82  82  82  82  83
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   E   E   W   E   N   W   SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Ridge wind dir..NE  NE  E   SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Ridge wind spd..5   10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   S   SE  E   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................15 percent increasing to 55 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...34 percent.
Max temperature.....51-56.
Min humidity........75-80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds around 10 mph, shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds near thunderstorms.
 Ridgetop...........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in
                    the late morning and afternoon, then shifting
                    to the northeast late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the west
                    late in the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........96  96  96  95  95  95  73  73  73  86  86  86
Weather cov.....SCH SCH         SCH CHC SCH CHC CHC DEF CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  60  60  60  60  60  60
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20  30  30  30
Temp............49  47  47  46  46  47  48  49  51  52  52  53
RH..............82  85  91  96  95  94  90  91  83  80  80  85
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
Ridge wind dir..E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  NE
Ridge wind spd..10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   0   0   0   0
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 2.0 2.0
Transp wind dir.SE  SW  S   S   S   SW  S   S   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...Brusda
Requested by...Zack
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619429.2/TFX
.DELDT 08/13/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael.tuffelmire@usda.gov,blake.wojcik@usda.gov,mthdc@firenet.gov,clint.reichert@usda.gov