Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT

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Spot Forecast for Jericho Mtn WF 06162025...USFS
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
628 PM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on June 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds over the next couple days will be generally diurnally driven with
light and variable winds overnight picking up to 5 to 15 mph out of the
west during the daytime. Afternoon wind gusts may reach as high as 25 mph.

There is a 15% chance of showers Tuesday afternoon, however, most of
the activity is expected to stay to the east of the burn site.
Otherwise, dry conditions are expected through Thursday morning before
another chance for showers/thunderstorms arrives in the afternoon.
Temperatures will remain in the mid 60s to low 70s with the next cool
down expected Friday/Saturday.



.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of thunder...16 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
 Ridgetop...........West 15 to 20 mph.

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53  32  24  17  14  25  25  25  25  25  25
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............49  50  52  56  58  60  61  62  64  64  64
RH..............72  69  63  53  43  37  33  27  26  26  27
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20
Ridge wind dir..NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
Min temperature.....44-49.
Max humidity........46-51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest 15 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 25
                    mph in the late evening and overnight, then
                    shifting to the west 15 to 20 mph overnight.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........18  20  14  20  19  14  9   9   9   5   5   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............65  63  61  56  54  53  52  51  50  48  47  46
RH..............27  28  32  39  44  46  46  47  47  48  49  51
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Ridge wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..15  20  20  20  25  20  20  20  15  15  15  20

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
 Ridgetop...........West 15 to 20 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    late in the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   8   8   6   6   6   5   5   5   15  15  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............46  48  50  53  56  59  62  64  66  67  69  69
RH..............51  50  47  44  41  38  35  32  30  29  28  27
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20
Ridge wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  25

$$
Forecaster...Glinskas
Requested by...Kory Garrie
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516072.0/TFX
.DELDT 06/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kory.garrie@usda.gov, tfx.ops@noaa.gov