937
FNUS75 KTFX 142124
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Woodchopper Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
224 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A low pressure system will bring a 50% chance of rain to the burn
area Monday and a 40% chance on Tuesday. Falling snow levels
Monday night into Tuesday will transition rain to light snow/a
rain and snow mix. There is about a 50% chance for 0.10" of
precipitation Monday through Tuesday and a 20% chance for an inch
of snow in the Little Belts. Temperatures return to more
seasonable next week, and winds remain light.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain.
CWR.................10 percent in the late morning and afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....47-52.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.

TIME (MST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77  74  74  74  72  72  72  74
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  45  47  48  48  47  45  43
RH..............74  70  69  68  69  70  71  73
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  15  15  15  10  10  10  10

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    through the night. Slight chance of snow late
                    in the evening, then chance of snow overnight.
CWR.................20 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....34-39.
Max humidity........74-79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........74  74  68  68  68  70  70  70  73  73  73  72
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RS  RS  RS  RS
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............42  40  39  39  39  39  39  39  39  38  38  37
RH..............74  75  76  76  76  76  76  76  76  75  75  75
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  10

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain.
                    Chance of snow through the day.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....40-45.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  72  67  67  67  64  64  64  61  61  61  62
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............36  36  36  38  40  41  42  42  42  41  40  39
RH..............77  80  81  78  72  68  66  66  67  68  70  72
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  10  10

$$
Forecaster...Wilson
Requested by...Kyle Marquardt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525947.0/TFX
.DELDT 11/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kyle.marquardt@usda.gov, tfx.ops@noaa.gov