Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT
485
FNUS75 KTFX 141150
FWSTFX
Spot Forecast for Queen Gulch...MTHDC
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
550 AM MDT Fri Aug 14 2026
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on August 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Today through Saturday there will be light winds with showers and
thunderstorms affecting the fire. All thunderstorms will produce
frequent lightning, heavy downpours, and gusty erratic winds. It
will warm up slightly on Saturday. Today there is an 80% chance
for a quarter inch of rain on the fire and a 50% chance for one
half inch of rain on the fire.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) then becoming mostly
cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of rain
showers in the morning, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
Chance of thunder...40 percent.
Max temperature.....53-58.
Min humidity........74-79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light and variable winds. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop...........West around 0 mph shifting to the south early
in the morning, then shifting to the north late
in the afternoon shifting to the south late in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the south early
in the morning, then shifting to the southwest
in the late morning and afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 90 89 86 85 66 78 80 78 75 86
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 50 50 50 50 50 50
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30 40 40 40
Temp............47 46 45 46 48 49 51 52 53 54 53
RH..............83 89 92 90 88 82 85 80 79 81 86
20 FT wind dir..W NW S SW SW S SW SW SW SW S
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15
Ridge wind dir..W S S S S S S SE N N S
Ridge wind spd..0 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.0 1.5 1.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 2.5 3.0 2.5
Transp wind dir.W SE S SW SW SW W SW W W SW
Transp wind spd.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms early in the
evening, then chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms late in the evening.
CWR.................55 percent decreasing to 5 percent overnight.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Min temperature.....44-49.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light and variable winds. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
in the evening.
Ridgetop...........South 0 to 5 mph shifting to the southwest
overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the north early
in the evening, then shifting to the south in
the late evening and overnight shifting to the
southwest after 3 am.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........90 86 88 86 57 51 49 55 63 55 67 55
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH
CWR.............60 60 60 60 60 60 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of thdr (%).30 30 30 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............51 52 50 50 49 49 48 48 48 48 48 48
RH..............89 89 89 89 89 89 86 83 84 83 83 83
20 FT wind dir..S SW N NW NW W SW W W SW W W
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 10 10
Ridge wind dir..S S S SE S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
Ridge wind spd..0 5 5 10 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S S N N S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Max temperature.....56-61.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Ridgetop...........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 15
mph late in the afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........82 82 82 51 51 51 48 48 48 72 72 72
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 10 20 30 30
Temp............48 46 48 48 49 51 53 55 57 58 58 58
RH..............81 82 87 89 83 78 70 69 61 58 58 60
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW S S S S S S SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15
Ridge wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW
Ridge wind spd..10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.0 6.0 5.5 5.5 4.5
Transp wind dir.SW SW S S SW SW SW W W W W SW
Transp wind spd.5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 15 10
$$
Forecaster...Gesell
Requested by...Zack
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619429.3/TFX
.DELDT 08/14/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mthdc@firenet.gov,blake.wojcik@usda.gov,michael.tuffelmire@usda.gov,clint.reichert@usda.gov