650
FNUS75 KTFX 141252
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Elk Creek Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
652 AM MDT Tue Oct 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MDT on October 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
There is a small chance for a passing snow shower today through
Wednesday. Any snow accumulations will be minor, generally less
than one half inch. There is a better chance for rain/snow Wed
night into Thu. Liquid amounts of 0.10 to 0.20 will be possible
Wed night/Thu. Generally below normal temperatures the next few
days as well. Brusda

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of snow
                    in the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    slight chance of snow late in the afternoon.
                    Chance of snow late in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....35-40.
Min humidity........74-79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.

TIME (MDT)      4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A
Sky (%).........88  86  84  81  85  83  87  90
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............33  36  35  37  37  37  37  36
RH..............82  79  80  80  79  79  79  79
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of snow
                    in the evening, then slight chance of
                    snow overnight. Patchy fog overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....20-25.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast overnight, then shifting to the north
                    after 3 am shifting to the east after 3 am.

TIME (MDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
Sky (%).........90  81  87  83  82  82  77  72  71  73  76  75
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH PTY PTY SCH SCH
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SNF SNF FOG FOG SNF SNF
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............35  32  27  26  25  25  25  23  23  24  24  24
RH..............80  91  100 99  100 98  100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   SE  E   N   E   E
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Slight chance of snow in the
                    morning. Slight chance of rain in the morning,
                    then chance of rain in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Max temperature.....45-50.
Min humidity........66-71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the northwest.

TIME (MDT)      MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A
Sky (%).........74  72  74  74  64  66  68  68  68  75  75  75
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RNF RNF RNF RS  RS  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............23  24  25  31  39  41  44  45  46  46  46  45
RH..............98  99  100 85  73  71  71  71  70  71  72  75
20 FT wind dir..NW  SW  W   W   NW  N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.N   NE  N   NW  NW  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NW
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Brusda
Requested by...Noelle Zinn
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523415.0/TFX
.DELDT 10/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL noelle.zinn@usda.gov