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FNUS73 KTOP 201429
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SPOT FORECAST for Dump Road Prairie...USFWS
National Weather Service Topeka KS
829 AM CST Fri Feb 20 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on February 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

Light (around 5 mph) northwesterly wind will become northeasterly later this afternoon (around 5 pm).
Relative humidity will remain above 40% through noon, then begin dropping to a minimum in the
afternoon to around 30 percent. Light snow is possible after 7 pm, no accumulation is expected.

Similar conditions are expected tomorrow with light northerly wind and minimum humidity around 30 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Temperature.........23 at ignition...Max 42.
RH..................63 percent at ignition...Min 30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds northwest at 6 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph
                    shifting to the northeast around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2700 ft
                    AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /20500 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /26300 knot-ft/.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR CLR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Temp............23  26  29  34  38  40  41  42  41
RH..............63  57  53  43  37  36  33  30  36
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.    13  12  12  11  9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 1.9
SDspl kt-ft/100021  26  22  21  21  19  16  16  11

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow early in
                    the evening, then chance of snow in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Temperature.........Min 24.
RH..................Max 74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (26000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     40     30     30     10
Temp............40     36     33     31     30     27
RH..............39     50     61     66     63     71
20 FT wind dir..NE     NE     NE     NE     NE     NE
20 FT wind spd..5      5      5      6      7      7
20 FT wind gust.9      11     12     13     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....900    800    700    1200   1200   1600
SDspl kt-ft/10006      6      6      15     15     26

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Temperature.........Max 43.
RH..................Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 7 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (17400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (60700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY     MCLDY     PCLDY     MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10        10        0         0
Temp............26        29        38        43
RH..............71        60        42        36
20 FT wind dir..N         N         N         N
20 FT wind spd..7         8         9         9
20 FT wind gust.14        14        16        15
Mix hgt (ft)....1400      1900      3200      3600
SDspl kt-ft/100020        28        48        58

$$
Forecaster...Jones
Requested by...David Spencer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603324.0/TOP
.DELDT 02/20/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david_spencer@fws.gov