168
FNUS73 KTOP 271626
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST for McKinney Triangle...USFWS
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1026 AM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CST on February 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A weak trough is moving across the region. This is expected to cause
westerly winds early in the afternoon to gradually shift to the north
between 3 and 6pm. Wind speeds should be in the 10 to 15 mph range with
gusts up to 25 mph through 5pm. Otherwise a sunny afternoon is expected
with no chance for precip. Mixing heights are forecast to be around 3KFT
with excellent conditions for smoke dispersal.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........65 at ignition...Max 74.
RH..................34 percent at ignition...Min 23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds west at 11 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    West winds 10 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    northwest late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4600 ft
                    AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /31900 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /77700 knot-ft/.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............65  68  71  72  73  74  71
RH..............34  31  28  26  25  24  27
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..11  12  12  12  12  10  7
20 FT wind gust.15  16  18  18  18  13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.7 3.3 3.9 4.6 3.2 1.8
SDspl kt-ft/100032  48  56  63  78  48  21

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear then becoming mostly cloudy then
                    becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Temperature.........Min 43.
RH..................Max 76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds around 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    5 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1900 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  PC  PC  MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............67  63  57  54  53  52  51  50  48  47  46  45
RH..............31  36  44  50  52  54  56  56  60  63  68  68
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   4   3   3   2   2   4   4   4   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.    5                   8   8   9   11  11  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7
SDspl kt-ft/10004   3   2   2   2   2   3   4   5   7   7   8

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Temperature.........Max 73.
RH..................Min 29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    north around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (58600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  44  48  54  60  65  70  72  73  72  71  67
RH..............68  76  71  59  49  40  34  30  29  29  30  34
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   7   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.12  13  14  14  15  16  18  18  18  18  18  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.4 2.2 2.9 3.4 3.7 3.6 3.2 2.6
SDspl kt-ft/10008   9   10  13  25  41  55  59  54  47  42  36

$$
Forecaster...Wolters
Requested by...David Spencer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2604238.0/TOP
.DELDT 02/27/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david_spencer@fws.gov