Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
000
FNUS54 KTSA 161833
FWFTSA
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
RED FLAG...None.
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather conditions remain an increasing concern as fuels
continue to dry. Periodic gusty winds through the afternoon with
hot temperatures should be expected. A weak front is likely to
move into the region today and remain stalled across the area
into Monday. A few thunderstorms are forecast near and north of
the front focusing primarily along and north of Interstate
40 today, shifting into southeast Oklahoma on Monday. Some of
these storms may produce localized gusty downburst winds, which
could affect any ongoing fire fighting efforts. Widespread
meaningful rainfall is not expected. Very hot and dry weather
returns Tuesday of next week, although potential for another
brief cooldown with low rain chances exists late next week.
OKZ049-053-170900-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-
Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, and Hugo
133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Min/Max Temperature 73 104 73 104
Max/Min Humidity(%) 63 25 76 24
AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type None Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 0 0
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 8240 10880
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 8 W 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 97 94 96 96
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1820 2750
Category Day Index 4 4
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
102. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 102.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
OKZ070-071-073>075-170900-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-
Including the cities of Muskogee, Checotah, McAlester, Stigler,
and Wilburton
133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Min/Max Temperature 75 102 73 105
Max/Min Humidity(%) 76 30 92 25
AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 10 30 20 0
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 6200 9590
Transport Wnd (mph) N 9 SW 10
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 96 88 92 88
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1490 2850
Category Day Index 3 4
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
105. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
101. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ001-170900-
Benton-
Including the cities of Rogers and Bentonville
133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Min/Max Temperature 74 94 71 98
Max/Min Humidity(%) 93 45 100 34
AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var N 5 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 0 0
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4880 7640
Transport Wnd (mph) N 8 W 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 85 80 83 80
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 990 1790
Category Day Index 3 4
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
102. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ002-170900-
Carroll-
Including the cities of Berryville and Eureka Springs
133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Min/Max Temperature 73 93 69 97
Max/Min Humidity(%) 95 51 100 40
AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 0 0
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4680 7740
Transport Wnd (mph) N 8 W 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 85 79 80 79
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 970 1630
Category Day Index 3 4
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
70s. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ010-170900-
Washington AR-
Including the cities of Fayetteville and Springdale
133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Min/Max Temperature 74 95 71 98
Max/Min Humidity(%) 83 40 94 33
AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var N 5 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 0 0
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4980 8090
Transport Wnd (mph) N 8 W 10
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 87 80 83 80
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1080 2020
Category Day Index 3 4
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
100. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ011-170900-
Madison-
Including the city of Huntsville
133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Min/Max Temperature 73 93 69 97
Max/Min Humidity(%) 85 45 99 38
AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 0 0
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4490 8170
Transport Wnd (mph) N 8 W 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 85 78 79 76
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 960 1880
Category Day Index 3 4
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ119-219-170900-
Northern Crawford-Southern Crawford-
Including the cities of Mountainburg and Van Buren
133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Min/Max Temperature 74 99 72 101
Max/Min Humidity(%) 78 36 88 33
AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 10 20 20 0
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5770 8010
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 8 W 10
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 95 87 87 83
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1380 1980
Category Day Index 3 4
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 101. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ120-220-170900-
Northern Franklin-Central and Southern Franklin-
Including the cities of Barnes, Paradise, Cecil, Cravens, Jethro,
Lonelm, Ozark, Watalula, and Charleston
133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Min/Max Temperature 75 102 72 102
Max/Min Humidity(%) 80 36 92 34
AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var N 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type None Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 0 0
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5790 7810
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 8 W 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 96 88 87 82
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1820 2110
Category Day Index 3 4
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 103.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the upper 90s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ129-229-170900-
North and Central Sebastian-Southern Sebastian-
Including the cities of Fort Smith, Liberty, Mansfield, Hartford,
Huntington, and Patterson
133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Min/Max Temperature 78 102 75 102
Max/Min Humidity(%) 77 31 89 29
AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var NW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 20 0
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 6900 9040
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 10 W 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 98 91 89 85
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1800 2110
Category Day Index 4 4
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
104. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
101. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Chance of showers 30 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
OKZ058-063-068-069-172-272-170900-
Ottawa-Delaware-Cherokee-Adair-Northern Sequoyah-
Central and Southern Sequoyah-
Including the cities of Miami, Grove, Jay, Tahlequah, Stilwell,
Marble City, and Sallisaw
133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Min/Max Temperature 73 97 71 101
Max/Min Humidity(%) 94 39 97 30
AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 0 0
Precip Amount (in) 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5040 7310
Transport Wnd (mph) N 8 W 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 89 84 87 83
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1280 2070
Category Day Index 3 4
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
103. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
OKZ055>057-059>062-064>067-154-254-354-170900-
Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Creek-
Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Western Osage-Northeast Osage-
Southeast Osage-
Including the cities of Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Pawnee,
Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner,
Fairfax, Shidler, Pawhuska, and Hominy
133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Min/Max Temperature 72 97 70 103
Max/Min Humidity(%) 100 42 100 26
AM 20ft Wind(mph) N 5 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 0 0
Precip Amount (in) 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4910 7610
Transport Wnd (mph) N 8 SW 10
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 86 82 87 86
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1300 2950
Category Day Index 3 4
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
104. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
OKZ176-276-376-170900-
Northern Le Flore-Central Le Flore-Southern Le Flore-
Including the cities of Pocola, Spiro, Arkoma, Panama, Poteau,
and Talihina
133 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Min/Max Temperature 75 102 72 103
Max/Min Humidity(%) 70 27 86 25
AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 20 0
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 6620 9550
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 9 W 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 97 90 91 86
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1600 2310
Category Day Index 4 4
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
102. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
100. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$