Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
726
FNUS54 KTSA 160633
FWFTSA
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
133 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
RED FLAG...None.
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather conditions remain an increasing concern as fuels
continue to dry. Periodic gusty winds through the afternoon with
hot temperatures should be expected. A weak front is likely to
move into the region Sunday and remain stalled across the area
into Monday. A few thunderstorms are forecast near and north of
the front focusing primarily along and north of Interstate 40.
Some of these storms may produce localized gusty downburst winds
on Sunday afternoon and evening, which could affect any ongoing
fire fighting efforts. Widespread meaningful rainfall is not
expected. Very hot and dry weather returns Tuesday of next week,
although potential for another brief cooldown with low rain
chances exists late next week.
OKZ049-053-162100-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-
Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, and Hugo
133 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Max/Min Temperature 102 74 104
Min/Max Humidity(%) 28 65 24
AM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9590 11560
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 10 W 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 93 97 93
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2410 2470
Category Day Index 4 4
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 103.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
103. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
102. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 100.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
OKZ070-071-073>075-162100-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-
Including the cities of Muskogee, Checotah, McAlester, Stigler,
and Wilburton
133 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Max/Min Temperature 104 76 101
Min/Max Humidity(%) 29 81 30
AM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 10 30
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.01 0.01
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9230 8380
Transport Wnd (mph) W 13 NW 8
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 94 95 89
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 2470
Category Day Index 5 4
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 103.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 80. Highs around 105.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
101. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 100.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ001-162100-
Benton-
Including the cities of Rogers and Bentonville
133 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Max/Min Temperature 101 74 95
Min/Max Humidity(%) 34 94 46
AM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 7 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 7 Lgt/Var N 5
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 20
Precip Amount (in) 0.01 0.03 0.01
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8990 5440
Transport Wnd (mph) W 15 N 8
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 90 88 78
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 1340
Category Day Index 5 3
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
102. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ002-162100-
Carroll-
Including the cities of Berryville and Eureka Springs
133 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Max/Min Temperature 100 73 93
Min/Max Humidity(%) 38 95 53
AM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 7 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 20
Precip Amount (in) 0.01 0.04 0.02
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8180 5030
Transport Wnd (mph) W 15 N 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 89 85 76
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3030 1320
Category Day Index 5 3
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the upper 90s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 100.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ010-162100-
Washington AR-
Including the cities of Fayetteville and Springdale
133 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Max/Min Temperature 100 75 96
Min/Max Humidity(%) 34 83 41
AM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 7 Lgt/Var N 5
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 20
Precip Amount (in) 0.01 0.01 0.02
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8460 5260
Transport Wnd (mph) W 14 NW 10
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 88 90 78
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3060 1640
Category Day Index 4 4
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
101. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ011-162100-
Madison-
Including the city of Huntsville
133 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Max/Min Temperature 98 73 93
Min/Max Humidity(%) 38 88 47
AM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 20
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.02 0.02
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7850 5790
Transport Wnd (mph) W 14 NW 10
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 86 88 76
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2950 1610
Category Day Index 4 4
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower 90s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ119-219-162100-
Northern Crawford-Southern Crawford-
Including the cities of Mountainburg and Van Buren
133 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Max/Min Temperature 101 75 100
Min/Max Humidity(%) 35 77 38
AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 20
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.03
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7960 6290
Transport Wnd (mph) W 13 NW 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 91 93 85
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2500 1840
Category Day Index 4 3
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 102.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ120-220-162100-
Northern Franklin-Central and Southern Franklin-
Including the cities of Barnes, Paradise, Cecil, Cravens, Jethro,
Lonelm, Ozark, Watalula, and Charleston
133 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Max/Min Temperature 103 76 101
Min/Max Humidity(%) 36 79 38
AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var NW 5
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 30
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.01
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8070 6740
Transport Wnd (mph) W 13 NW 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 91 94 87
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2480 2150
Category Day Index 4 4
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs around 101. East
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 103.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ129-229-162100-
North and Central Sebastian-Southern Sebastian-
Including the cities of Fort Smith, Liberty, Mansfield, Hartford,
Huntington, and Patterson
133 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Max/Min Temperature 103 78 102
Min/Max Humidity(%) 33 76 32
AM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var NW 5
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8320 8690
Transport Wnd (mph) W 13 NW 10
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 93 97 90
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2650 2180
Category Day Index 4 4
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 103. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
105. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
101. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
OKZ058-063-068-069-172-272-162100-
Ottawa-Delaware-Cherokee-Adair-Northern Sequoyah-
Central and Southern Sequoyah-
Including the cities of Miami, Grove, Jay, Tahlequah, Stilwell,
Marble City, and Sallisaw
133 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Max/Min Temperature 103 74 98
Min/Max Humidity(%) 32 95 39
AM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 20
Precip Amount (in) 0.01 0.05 0.02
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8700 5510
Transport Wnd (mph) W 15 N 8
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 93 90 83
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 1670
Category Day Index 5 3
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 100.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
103. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
OKZ055>057-059>062-064>067-154-254-354-162100-
Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Creek-
Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Western Osage-Northeast Osage-
Southeast Osage-
Including the cities of Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Pawnee,
Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner,
Fairfax, Shidler, Pawhuska, and Hominy
133 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Max/Min Temperature 104 73 97
Min/Max Humidity(%) 29 100 41
AM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 6 NE 5
PM 20ft Wind(mph) W 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 20
Precip Amount (in) 0.01 0.09 0.03
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9150 4950
Transport Wnd (mph) W 14 N 8
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 95 88 84
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 1420
Category Day Index 5 3
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs around 102.
East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
104. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
OKZ176-276-376-162100-
Northern Le Flore-Central Le Flore-Southern Le Flore-
Including the cities of Pocola, Spiro, Arkoma, Panama, Poteau,
and Talihina
133 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Max/Min Temperature 104 75 102
Min/Max Humidity(%) 29 70 28
AM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8270 10540
Transport Wnd (mph) W 12 NW 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 92 96 89
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2590 2510
Category Day Index 4 4
Stability Class B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 102. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
103. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around
100. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$