Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
918
FNUS54 KTSA 301834
FWFTSA
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
134 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
RED FLAG...None.
.DISCUSSION...
Above normal temperatures, in combination with gusty southerly
winds this afternoon, will locally raise grassland fire spread
rates through about sunset, especially across eastern Oklahoma.
Rain chances dramatically increase this evening/overnight tonight
and through Friday with a higher chance of meaningful wetting
rainfall across the region. Cooler and drier weather will filter
behind a cold front late Thursday nigh, through the upcoming
weekend and into early next week.
OKZ049-053-010900-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-
Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, and Hugo
134 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Min/Max Temperature 70 82 66 82
Max/Min Humidity(%) 98 70 100 65
AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 7 G18 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 8 G19 S 5 Lgt/Var N 5
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 90 70 70
Precip Amount (in) 0.27 0.60 0.97 0.43
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2320 2410
Transport Wnd (mph) S 13 NE 8
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 81 79 79 74
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 910 650
Category Day Index 3 2
Stability Class F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Chance of showers 70 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Light winds.
$$
OKZ070-071-073>075-010900-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-
Including the cities of Muskogee, Checotah, McAlester, Stigler,
and Wilburton
134 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Min/Max Temperature 68 81 64 79
Max/Min Humidity(%) 100 72 100 68
AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 8 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 7 S 6 Lgt/Var N 7
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 90 70 50
Precip Amount (in) 0.62 0.54 0.67 0.20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2550 2490
Transport Wnd (mph) S 16 NE 14
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 80 78 75 70
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1150 1070
Category Day Index 3 3
Stability Class F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Light winds.
$$
ARZ001-010900-
Benton-
Including the cities of Rogers and Bentonville
134 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Min/Max Temperature 70 78 64 73
Max/Min Humidity(%) 92 68 100 77
AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 9 NE 5
PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 9 S 8 Lgt/Var NE 9 G17
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 20 80 80 50
Precip Amount (in) 0.05 0.24 0.54 0.14
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2780 2760
Transport Wnd (mph) S 16 NE 15
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 74 74 66 63
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1270 1080
Category Day Index 3 3
Stability Class F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ002-010900-
Carroll-
Including the cities of Berryville and Eureka Springs
134 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Min/Max Temperature 70 82 65 73
Max/Min Humidity(%) 84 64 100 80
AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 8 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 7 G18 S 7 Lgt/Var NE 7
Precip Type None Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 80 80
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.10 0.42 0.19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3460 2560
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 NE 13
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 77 73 66 63
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1720 800
Category Day Index 4 3
Stability Class F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Light winds.
$$
ARZ010-010900-
Washington AR-
Including the cities of Fayetteville and Springdale
134 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Min/Max Temperature 70 79 64 73
Max/Min Humidity(%) 87 64 100 75
AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 10 G20 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 10 G21 S 8 G19 Lgt/Var NE 8
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 10 70 80 60
Precip Amount (in) 0.02 0.28 0.65 0.24
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2820 2380
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 NE 14
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 74 73 67 64
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1340 980
Category Day Index 3 3
Stability Class F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Light winds.
$$
ARZ011-010900-
Madison-
Including the city of Huntsville
134 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Min/Max Temperature 69 80 64 74
Max/Min Humidity(%) 88 68 100 85
AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 10 G19 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 9 G22 S 8 G18 Lgt/Var NE 7
Precip Type None Showers Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 80 80
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.18 0.76 0.24
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2750 2260
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 NE 13
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 74 71 67 62
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1310 780
Category Day Index 3 3
Stability Class F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s.
East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Light winds.
$$
ARZ119-219-010900-
Northern Crawford-Southern Crawford-
Including the cities of Mountainburg and Van Buren
134 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Min/Max Temperature 71 82 65 78
Max/Min Humidity(%) 83 63 100 77
AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 9 G17 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) SE 9 G19 S 7 G17 Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 80 70
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.37 0.94 0.28
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2870 2220
Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 NE 10
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 79 76 75 70
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1220 690
Category Day Index 3 2
Stability Class F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ120-220-010900-
Northern Franklin-Central and Southern Franklin-
Including the cities of Barnes, Paradise, Cecil, Cravens, Jethro,
Lonelm, Ozark, Watalula, and Charleston
134 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Min/Max Temperature 71 84 66 79
Max/Min Humidity(%) 84 63 100 82
AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 8 G17 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) SE 8 G19 S 7 G17 Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 80 80
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.23 0.81 0.33
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3250 2310
Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 NE 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 79 76 76 71
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1300 630
Category Day Index 3 2
Stability Class F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ129-229-010900-
North and Central Sebastian-Southern Sebastian-
Including the cities of Fort Smith, Liberty, Mansfield, Hartford,
Huntington, and Patterson
134 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Min/Max Temperature 74 83 68 79
Max/Min Humidity(%) 84 63 100 73
AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 8 G18 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) SE 9 G20 S 7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 80 80
Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.24 0.66 0.35
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2960 2520
Transport Wnd (mph) S 14 NE 8
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 82 78 78 73
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1350 570
Category Day Index 3 2
Stability Class F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
OKZ058-063-068-069-172-272-010900-
Ottawa-Delaware-Cherokee-Adair-Northern Sequoyah-
Central and Southern Sequoyah-
Including the cities of Miami, Grove, Jay, Tahlequah, Stilwell,
Marble City, and Sallisaw
134 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Min/Max Temperature 69 79 63 77
Max/Min Humidity(%) 99 71 100 70
AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 8 NE 5 G17
PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 7 S 6 Lgt/Var NE 8 G17
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 50 90 70 50
Precip Amount (in) 0.23 0.43 0.67 0.17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2520 2830
Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 NE 15
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 77 76 70 68
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1150 1310
Category Day Index 3 3
Stability Class F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Light winds.
$$
OKZ055>057-059>062-064>067-154-254-354-010900-
Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Creek-
Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Western Osage-Northeast Osage-
Southeast Osage-
Including the cities of Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Pawnee,
Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner,
Fairfax, Shidler, Pawhuska, and Hominy
134 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Min/Max Temperature 66 78 61 73
Max/Min Humidity(%) 100 79 100 69
AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 9 N 10 G20
PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 8 S 7 Lgt/Var NE 12 G19
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 90 90 70 20
Precip Amount (in) 0.99 0.55 0.29 0.02
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2320 3010
Transport Wnd (mph) S 14 NE 17
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 79 78 68 68
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1150 1440
Category Day Index 3 3
Stability Class F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Light winds.
$$
OKZ176-276-376-010900-
Northern Le Flore-Central Le Flore-Southern Le Flore-
Including the cities of Pocola, Spiro, Arkoma, Panama, Poteau,
and Talihina
134 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Min/Max Temperature 71 83 65 80
Max/Min Humidity(%) 90 62 100 68
AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 8 G23 Lgt/Var
PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 9 G27 S 6 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 70 80 80
Precip Amount (in) 0.03 0.33 0.65 0.42
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2720 2380
Transport Wnd (mph) S 14 NE 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 81 77 76 72
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1080 730
Category Day Index 3 2
Stability Class F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Light winds.
$$