Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
804
FNUS54 KTSA 170521
FWFTSA
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1121 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
RED FLAG...NONE.
.DISCUSSION...
A warm front lifts northeast through the region today with
increasing southerly winds and warmer temperatures. Before low
level moisture increases, limited to locally elevated fire weather
danger could develop over the region. Low rain and thunder
chances develop with the front moving through. Additional low shower
and storm chances return Tuesday night and progressively increase
through Thursday night before weakening Friday once a low
pressure system and cold front move across the Plains. Fire
weather danger mid to late week should remain low for most
locations.
OKZ049-053-170645-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-
Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, and Hugo
1121 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 82 66 86
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 49 99 39
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 9 SW 8
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 9 S 8 SW 7
PRECIP TYPE None None None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2875 4437
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 21 S 16 SW 20
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 72 73 71
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1424 0 2037
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4 1 4
STABILITY C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 70. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds around
5 mph.
$$
OKZ070-071-073>075-170645-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-
Including the cities of Muskogee, Checotah, McAlester, Stigler,
and Wilburton
1121 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 81 64 83
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 49 94 31
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 10 SW 8
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 12 G19 S 9 SW 7
PRECIP TYPE None Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2654 3834
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 23 S 18 SW 20
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 71 72 70
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1400 2 2140
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4 1 4
STABILITY D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds around
5 mph.
$$
ARZ001-170645-
Benton-
Including the cities of Rogers and Bentonville
1121 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 69 59 76
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 50 100 43
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 12 SW 9
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 13 S 10 G18 W 8
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2027 211 2924
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 23 S 17 SW 20
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 64 66 67
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1113 128 1687
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 4
STABILITY D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows around 60.
Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
ARZ002-170645-
Carroll-
Including the cities of Berryville and Eureka Springs
1121 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 68 55 77
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 46 100 49
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 9 G18 SW 10 G17
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 11 G19 SE 8 G17 W 9
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 1959 5 3752
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 22 S 15 W 21
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 59 61 67
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1044 61 2050
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 4
STABILITY C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around
60. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
ARZ010-170645-
Washington AR-
Including the cities of Fayetteville and Springdale
1121 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 69 59 77
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 42 100 41
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 15 G23 SW 10
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 15 S 12 G20 SW 9
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 40 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.01 0.01 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 1627 2 3378
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 25 S 20 SW 18
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 62 64 67
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1031 32 1850
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 4
STABILITY D F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
ARZ011-170645-
Madison-
Including the city of Huntsville
1121 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 67 56 77
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 42 100 50
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 12 G23 SW 10 G18
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 13 G21 S 11 G21 SW 9 G17
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 40 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.02 0.01 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 1557 3878
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 23 S 18 SW 21
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 56 59 66
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 957 9 1942
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 4
STABILITY D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60.
Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
ARZ019-170645-
Crawford-
Including the city of Van Buren
1121 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 71 59 80
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 41 100 44
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 14 G21 S 8
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 14 SE 9 G17 SW 9
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.12 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 1670 1 4219
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) SE 20 SE 15 SW 18
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 66 69 70
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 981 3 1697
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 4
STABILITY D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
ARZ020-170645-
Franklin-
Including the cities of Ozark and Charleston
1121 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 70 57 83
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 41 100 51
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 12 G20 S 7
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 12 E 8 SW 9
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 30 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.18 0.02 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 1669 4414
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) SE 17 E 13 SW 18
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 65 69 70
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 901 0 1817
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 4
STABILITY D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs around 70. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ029-170645-
Sebastian-
Including the city of Fort Smith
1121 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 76 63 83
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 48 100 44
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 11 SW 10 G18
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 12 SE 9 SW 10
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.10 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2299 4531
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) SE 20 SE 12 SW 20
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 69 73 72
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1099 2 1811
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 4
STABILITY D F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs around 70. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs
around 60. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
OKZ058-063-068-069-072-170645-
Ottawa-Delaware-Cherokee-Adair-Sequoyah-
Including the cities of Miami, Grove, Jay, Tahlequah, Stilwell,
and Sallisaw
1121 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 75 59 79
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 49 100 37
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 12 SW 6
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 12 SE 9 W 6
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.02 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2230 1 3111
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 24 S 17 W 15
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 68 70 69
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1305 57 1599
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4 1 4
STABILITY D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs
in the upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
OKZ054>057-059>062-064>067-170645-
Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Creek-
Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Including the cities of Pawhuska, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita,
Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee,
and Wagoner
1121 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 80 53 78
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 42 95 29
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 11 G19 SW 5
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 14 S 8 W 5
PRECIP TYPE None Showers None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2613 161 2866
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 24 S 15 NW 12
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 66 70 71
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1899 52 1617
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4 1 4
STABILITY D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around
60. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
OKZ076-170645-
Le Flore-
Including the city of Poteau
1121 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 78 65 83
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 52 98 38
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 10 G20 SW 11 G21
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 11 S 10 G21 SW 9
PRECIP TYPE Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.02 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2491 4183
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 22 S 14 SW 21
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 69 72 70
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1303 0 2102
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4 1 4
STABILITY D F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds around
5 mph.
$$