Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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937
FNUS54 KTSA 190448
FWFTSA

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1048 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

RED FLAG...NONE.

.DISCUSSION...

Temperatures remain well above normal today, with light winds.
Widespread showers and a few thunderstorms are expected this
evening through Thursday, with locally heavy rainfall amounts.
This, along with another round of rainfall early next week, will
keep fire weather concerns to a minimum for several days.


OKZ049-053-191015-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-
Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, and Hugo
1048 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Wed Night    Thu          Thu Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy        Cloudy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   62           73           59           73
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   100          78           100          78
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  S  5                      S  5
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5        S  5
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     80           90           90           90
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.18         0.46         0.53         0.46
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)                 1668                      1668
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   S  7         S 12         S 10         S 12
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   74           73           70           73
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      1            841          0            841
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            3            1            3
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. East winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds around
5 mph.

$$

OKZ070-071-073>075-191015-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-
Including the cities of Muskogee, Checotah, McAlester, Stigler,
and Wilburton
1048 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Wed Night    Thu          Thu Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   61           72           58           72
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   100          81           100          81
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  S  5                      S  5
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5        S  5
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     70           90           90           90
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.07         0.47         0.48         0.47
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)                 1435                      1435
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   SE  7        SW 10        SE  9        SW 10
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   75           72           68           72
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      0            612          0            612
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            2            1            2
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ001-191015-
Benton-
Including the cities of Rogers and Bentonville
1048 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Wed Night    Thu          Thu Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   57           67           58           67
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   100          89           100          89
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  S  5                      S  5
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5        S  5
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           100          100          100
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.12         0.97         0.50         0.97
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)    79           1003         158          1003
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  8         W 13         SE  7        W 13
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   70           67           65           67
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      32           469          27           469
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            2            1            2
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs around 70. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 60.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ002-191015-
Carroll-
Including the cities of Berryville and Eureka Springs
1048 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Wed Night    Thu          Thu Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   55           66           57           66
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   100          92           100          92
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      S  5
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           100          90           100
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.17         0.90         0.49         0.90
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)    3            896                       896
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  7         SW 12        S  6         SW 12
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   69           65           65           65
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      1            477          1            477
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            2            1            2
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs around 70. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower
60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ010-191015-
Washington AR-
Including the cities of Fayetteville and Springdale
1048 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Wed Night    Thu          Thu Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   59           68           58           68
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   100          86           100          86
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  S  5                      S  5
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5        S  5
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           100          100          100
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.11         0.84         0.48         0.84
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)    1            948                       948
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   SE  7        SW  9        SE  8        SW  9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   70           66           64           66
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      0            434          0            434
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            2            1            2
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ011-191015-
Madison-
Including the city of Huntsville
1048 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Wed Night    Thu          Thu Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   58           67           57           67
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   100          92           100          92
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  S  5                      S  5
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5        S  5
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           100          100          100
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.18         0.90         0.57         0.90
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)                 955                       955
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   SE  7        S  7         SE  7        S  7
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   67           64           63           64
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      0            436          0            436
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            2            1            2
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ019-191015-
Crawford-
Including the city of Van Buren
1048 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Wed Night    Thu          Thu Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   59           69           60           69
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   100          87           100          87
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  5        SE  5
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           100          90           100
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.19         0.72         0.68         0.72
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)    1            1168                      1168
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  8         S  8         SE  8        S  8
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   73           68           66           68
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      0            257          0            257
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            1            1            1
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 70. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ020-191015-
Franklin-
Including the cities of Ozark and Charleston
1048 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Wed Night    Thu          Thu Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   59           71           60           71
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   100          88           100          88
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  5        SE  5
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           100          90           100
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.14         0.76         0.83         0.76
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)                 1161                      1161
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  8         S  7         E  8         S  7
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   73           69           68           69
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      0            335          0            335
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            2            1            2
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 60.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows around 50. Highs around 60. East winds around
5 mph.

$$

ARZ029-191015-
Sebastian-
Including the city of Fort Smith
1048 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Wed Night    Thu          Thu Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   62           72           61           72
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   100          83           100          83
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5        S  5
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     70           90           90           90
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.06         0.71         0.78         0.71
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)                 1509                      1509
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  8         SW  9        SE  8        SW  9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   74           73           70           73
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      0            446          0            446
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            2            1            2
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

OKZ058-063-068-069-072-191015-
Ottawa-Delaware-Cherokee-Adair-Sequoyah-
Including the cities of Miami, Grove, Jay, Tahlequah, Stilwell,
and Sallisaw
1048 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Wed Night    Thu          Thu Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy        Cloudy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   58           69           57           69
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   100          84           100          84
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      S  5
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           90           90           90
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.13         0.77         0.55         0.77
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)    1            1096                      1096
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   SE 10        SW 10        SE  8        SW 10
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   72           69           67           69
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      1            377          0            377
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            2            1            2
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 60.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 60. East winds
around 5 mph.

$$

OKZ054>057-059>062-064>067-191015-
Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Creek-
Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Including the cities of Pawhuska, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita,
Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee,
and Wagoner
1048 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Wed Night    Thu          Thu Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy        Cloudy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   57           69           56           69
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   100          80           100          80
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  S  5                      S  5
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5        S  5
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           90           90           90
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.10         0.65         0.55         0.65
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)    133          992          97           992
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   E  8         SW 12        S 10         SW 12
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   73           69           66           69
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      40           527          32           527
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            2            1            2
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs around 70. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 60. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 60. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

OKZ076-191015-
Le Flore-
Including the city of Poteau
1048 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

                      Wed Night    Thu          Thu Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE   60           72           57           72
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%)   100          78           100          78
AM 20FT WIND(MPH)                  S  5                      S  5
PM 20FT WIND(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  6        S  5
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     70           90           90           90
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.08         0.59         0.67         0.59
MIXING HGT(FT AGL)                 1556                      1556
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH)   SE  7        SW 10        SE  7        SW 10
1700FT MIXHGT T (F)   73           72           69           72
VENT RATE(M/S-M)      0            645          0            645
CATEGORY DAY INDEX    1            3            1            3
STABILITY             F            C            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs around 60. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. East winds around
5 mph.

$$