Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
265
FNUS54 KTSA 161714
FWFTSA
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1114 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
RED FLAG...NONE.
.DISCUSSION...
Easterly winds along with afternoon min relative humidity values
generally less than 45 percent will aid in areas of limited fire
weather danger Sunday afternoon for parts of eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas. A warm front lifts northeast through the
region Monday with increasing southerly winds and warmer
temperatures. Before low level moisture increases, limited to
locally elevated fire weather danger could develop over the
region. Low rain and thunder chances develop with the front moving
through. Additional shower and storm chances return Tuesday night
and increase through Thursday night before weakening Friday once
a low pressure system and cold front move across the Plains. Fire
weather danger mid to late week should remain low for most
locations.
OKZ049-053-171015-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-
Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, and Hugo
1114 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 58 83 66 84
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 82 48 99 43
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 8 SW 7
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 6 S 8 S 6 SW 6
PRECIP TYPE None None None None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2667 4230
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 14 S 20 S 14 SW 18
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 69 70 76 72
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 1424 0 1976
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 4
STABILITY F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Light winds.
$$
OKZ070-071-073>075-171015-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-
Including the cities of Muskogee, Checotah, McAlester, Stigler,
and Wilburton
1114 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 56 81 64 83
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 78 48 95 34
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 8 SW 8
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 5 S 9 G17 S 8 SW 6
PRECIP TYPE None None None None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2528 4061
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 12 S 21 S 16 SW 20
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 69 66 74 71
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 1400 0 2084
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 4
STABILITY F D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Light winds.
$$
ARZ001-171015-
Benton-
Including the cities of Rogers and Bentonville
1114 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Mclear Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 50 68 60 76
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 66 51 100 46
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 9 G17 SW 8
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 10 G17 S 9 SW 7
PRECIP TYPE None Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 20 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 158 1983 124 3530
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 10 S 22 S 18 SW 16
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 64 62 64 71
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 27 1133 78 1624
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 3 1 4
STABILITY F D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60. Light winds.
$$
ARZ002-171015-
Carroll-
Including the cities of Berryville and Eureka Springs
1114 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Mclear Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 47 65 57 77
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 64 47 97 52
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 9 SW 8
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 9 SE 8 SW 7
PRECIP TYPE None Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 30 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3 1829 4155
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 8 S 21 SE 15 SW 20
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 61 59 61 71
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 1015 8 1982
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 3 1 4
STABILITY F D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Light winds.
$$
ARZ010-171015-
Washington AR-
Including the cities of Fayetteville and Springdale
1114 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 51 67 60 78
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 65 44 99 45
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 10 G19 SW 9 G17
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 11 G20 S 9 G19 SW 8
PRECIP TYPE None Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 20 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2 1597 3693
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 9 S 23 S 17 SW 18
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 64 59 63 70
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 1058 0 1752
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 3 1 4
STABILITY F D F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the mid 60s. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Light winds.
$$
ARZ011-171015-
Madison-
Including the city of Huntsville
1114 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Mclear Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 49 65 58 77
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 64 44 96 53
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 9 G18 SW 8
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 10 G18 S 9 G17 SW 8
PRECIP TYPE None Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 30 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 1476 3693
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 9 SE 22 S 16 SW 20
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 64 58 62 69
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 915 0 1853
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 3 1 4
STABILITY F D F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Light winds.
$$
ARZ019-171015-
Crawford-
Including the city of Van Buren
1114 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 51 70 59 80
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 60 43 94 48
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 9 G17 S 6
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 6 SE 11 G18 E 7 SW 7
PRECIP TYPE None Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 20 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 1 1704 3948
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 10 SE 21 SE 15 SW 15
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 63 56 65 73
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 908 0 1697
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 3 1 4
STABILITY F D F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers. Lows around 60. Highs in
the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Light winds.
$$
ARZ020-171015-
Franklin-
Including the cities of Ozark and Charleston
1114 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 51 71 60 82
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 61 41 94 55
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 9 S 6
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 5 E 10 G17 E 7 SW 6
PRECIP TYPE None Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 20 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 1699 3747
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 10 SE 18 E 15 SW 15
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 63 56 64 73
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 806 0 1693
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 3 1 4
STABILITY F D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms and
slight chance of rain showers. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid
70s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows around 60.
Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 60. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60. Light winds.
$$
ARZ029-171015-
Sebastian-
Including the city of Fort Smith
1114 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 55 75 63 82
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 62 48 97 49
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 8 SW 8
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 5 SE 9 SE 6 SW 8
PRECIP TYPE None Tstms Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2136 3835
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 12 SE 17 SE 14 SW 18
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 67 59 72 74
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 1139 0 1716
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 3 1 4
STABILITY F D F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows around 60.
Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Light winds.
$$
OKZ058-063-068-069-072-171015-
Ottawa-Delaware-Cherokee-Adair-Sequoyah-
Including the cities of Miami, Grove, Jay, Tahlequah, Stilwell,
and Sallisaw
1114 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 51 74 60 80
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 67 49 100 40
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 9 G17 SW 6
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 10 G17 SE 8 SW 5
PRECIP TYPE None None Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 1 2010 3544
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 13 S 22 S 16 SW 15
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 66 60 68 71
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 1299 0 1503
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 4
STABILITY F D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Light winds.
$$
OKZ054>057-059>062-064>067-171015-
Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Creek-
Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Including the cities of Pawhuska, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita,
Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee,
and Wagoner
1114 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 51 80 55 78
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 81 43 92 30
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 8 G18 SW 5
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 5 S 11 G21 S 7 LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE None None Showers None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 159 2603 159 2942
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 13 S 23 SW 12 W 10
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 68 63 71 70
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 41 1899 34 1545
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 4
STABILITY F D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds around
5 mph.
$$
OKZ076-171015-
Le Flore-
Including the city of Poteau
1114 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 55 78 65 83
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 73 51 98 42
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 7 SW 9
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 5 SE 9 SE 7 SW 7
PRECIP TYPE None None Tstms None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2355 3664
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 12 S 20 S 14 SW 20
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 69 63 75 72
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 1297 0 2051
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 4
STABILITY F C F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Light winds.
$$