444
FNUS74 KTSA 051632
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for Veterans Colony...OFS
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1032 AM CST Wed Nov 5 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CST on November 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A weak front will move through the burn site mid to late afternoon
today, with the main impact being a wind shift from light
southwesterly to light northeasterly. No substantial drop in
temperature is expected. While there is a drop in dew point behind
the front, there is a high chance that the lower dew points
remain well north of the burn site, with no impacts to the
relative humidity this afternoon expected. Winds remain light
overnight, with a quick shift to southerly winds and an increase
in speed by late morning tomorrow.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Dewpoint............54.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 3 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (15737 knot-ft).
Stability class.....3.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).70.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   1   1   0   0   0   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............69  71  73  75  76  75  73
Dewpoint........54  54  54  54  53  54  55
RH..............59  54  51  48  45  48  53
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   E   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   4   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.10  7   5   5   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.5 3.0 3.2 3.2 2.4 0.7
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   SE  SE  NE
Transp wind spd.10  7   3   5   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..20  16  16  16  16  16  16
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).70  69  70  71  72  72  72

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............54.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast
                    8 to 10 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4590 knot-ft).
Stability class.....6.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).71.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   14  19  21  23  20  21  22  24  21  17  11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............67  62  60  58  57  56  55  55  55  54  54  54
Dewpoint........56  56  56  55  56  55  55  55  54  54  54  53
RH..............68  81  87  90  96  96  100 100 96  100 100 96
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   4
20 FT wind gust.6   6   5   5   4   4   4   4   5   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   8   9   8   8   8   9   9   8   10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).71  71  70  70  71  72  72  72  72  72  72  71

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Dewpoint............54 increasing to 58 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    around 18 mph shifting to the south 12 to 13
                    mph with gusts to around 18 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 18 mph shifting to the south 15
                    to 22 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (41967 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (71475 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).72.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  10  7   8   7   12  7   2   2   1   0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  54  57  63  67  72  75  77  77  78  77  75
Dewpoint........52  54  56  58  59  59  58  57  57  57  57  58
RH..............100 100 95  84  75  65  56  50  50  48  50  56
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   5   6   6   8   9   9   10  11  11  10  10
20 FT wind gust.7   10  11  12  14  16  17  18  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.9 2.6 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.2 2.9 1.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  13  15  18  21  22  22  21  18  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..42  42  42  42  42  42  71  71  71  71  71  71
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD
1700FT Mix T(F).71  71  71  71  71  71  72  72  73  74  74  74

$$
Forecaster...K.HATFIELD
Requested by...Ranger
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525197.0/TSA
.DELDT 11/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL arron.sumpter@ag.ok.gov