Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
138
FNUS74 KTSA 141201
FWSTSA
Spot Forecast for ORD- Black Fire...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
701 AM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 CDT on March 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
South winds will gradually increase today and then shift to the
southwest and become very gusty this afternoon. Wind gusts up to
50 miles an hour will be possible during the afternoon. Humidity
values will rapidly fall this afternoon as well, to around 20
percent before sunset.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Dewpoint............53 decreasing to 37.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 13 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 48 mph
increasing to 52 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 30 to 38 mph shifting to the southwest 40
to 46 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (125901 knot-ft).
Stability class.....3.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).71 increasing to 77 late in the afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 17 to 19 mph. Gusts up to 48
mph increasing to 52 mph in the afternoon.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4 8 24 20 12 16 8 6 12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............64 67 70 72 75 77 76 76 75
Dewpoint........52 54 55 53 51 47 43 39 35
RH..............65 63 59 51 43 35 31 26 23
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..17 19 19 19 19 19 18 17 17
20 FT wind gust.33 37 38 41 42 41 39 38 37
Eye lvl wnd dir.S S S S S S SW SW SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.17 19 19 19 19 19 18 17 17
Eye lvl wnd gst.33 37 38 41 42 41 39 38 37
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.9 3.0 3.8 4.6 5.1 6.5 7.4 7.2
Transp wind dir.S S S S SW S SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.30 35 38 37 38 40 43 46 45
Vrate kt-ft/1K..126 126 126 126 131 131 131 131 131
Ventrate Cat....VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
1700FT Mix T(F).68 67 69 72 75 76 76 76 77
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........47 percent.
Dewpoint............29 decreasing to 25 early in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 44 mph
decreasing to 32 mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 43 mph decreasing to 14 to 15
mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (131147 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to fair (14426 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Stability class.....5.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).74.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 6 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 44 mph
decreasing to 32 mph late in the evening.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........14 22 31 26 33 44 30 21 24 19 54 56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............74 70 67 65 64 61 61 60 59 58 58 56
Dewpoint........31 27 25 27 26 25 25 24 24 25 25 27
RH..............20 20 20 24 23 25 25 25 26 28 28 32
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..16 15 14 14 14 11 8 8 8 7 6 6
20 FT wind gust.35 34 33 31 30 26 24 23 22 20 19 18
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.16 15 14 14 14 11 8 8 8 7 6 6
Eye lvl wnd gst.35 34 33 31 30 26 24 23 22 20 19 18
Mix hgt (kft)...5.9 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.43 25 23 21 20 21 20 18 17 17 15 14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..131 30 30 30 30 30 30 14 14 14 14 14
Ventrate Cat....VGD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
1700FT Mix T(F).78 79 78 76 75 74 74 74 73 73 71 70
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Dewpoint............29 increasing to 36 in the late morning and
afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph with gusts to around
17 mph shifting to the west around 6 mph late
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 16 mph shifting to the west
late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (14426 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (89180 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).66.
Eye level winds.....West winds 5 to 6 mph with gusts to around 17
mph shifting to the around 6 mph late in the
afternoon.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72 87 90 61 72 62 49 47 50 53 56 56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............55 54 53 55 58 61 63 65 67 68 68 67
Dewpoint........27 29 31 35 38 38 38 37 37 36 36 35
RH..............34 38 43 47 47 42 39 35 33 31 31 30
20 FT wind dir..SW SW S S S SW SW W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.17 14 14 14 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 14
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW SW S S S SW SW W W W W W
Eye lvl wnd spd.5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
Eye lvl wnd gst.17 14 14 14 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.3 2.1 3.6 4.4 4.7 5.4 5.8 4.7
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
Transp wind spd.13 12 13 15 12 14 15 16 15 16 17 17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..14 49 49 49 49 49 49 89 89 89 89 89
Ventrate Cat....PR FR FR FR FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD
1700FT Mix T(F).68 66 65 66 66 65 65 65 66 67 68 68
$$
Forecaster...PLATE
Requested by...Duty Officer
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2506508.0/TSA
.DELDT 03/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.moe@usda.gov