Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
208 FLUS44 KTSA 311745 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1245 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011015- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 1245 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD. RISK...Limited. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma. ONSET...Ongoing. THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas. ONSET...Ongoing. DISCUSSION... An expansion in the shower coverage across eastern Oklahoma is expected to continue through the afternoon, with potential for embedded thunderstorms also developing this afternoon. Low to medium chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue into tonight in eastern Oklahoma, also eventually spreading into western Arkansas. Severe weather is unlikely, but a limited threat for locally heavy rain and flash flooding will exist, especially in eastern Oklahoma. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter Activation Not Expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...No Hazards. SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... With northwest flow aloft, disturbances moving through the region will lead to additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms through Tuesday. A locally heavy rain threat will continue during this time, along with a low, but nonzero, potential for isolated severe weather. A dry period remains on track for the middle of next week in advance of a strong cold front set to move through the area Wednesday night into Thursday. A low chance of thunderstorms exists along the front Wednesday night into Thursday, mainly across parts of eastern Oklahoma. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$