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FLUS44 KTSA 232250
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
450 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-242300-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
450 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After 10 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After 10 PM.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and West Central Arkansas.
ONSET...After 9 PM Eastern Oklahoma...After Midnight West
            Central Arkansas.

DISCUSSION...
A band of widespread showers and scattered embedded thunderstorms
will spread into eastern Oklahoma later this evening, then into
western Arkansas mainly after midnight. The greater thunder potential
as well as a locally heavy rain threat is forecast mainly along
and south of Interstate 40 tonight.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms are forecast to continue Monday across
eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas as a low pressure system
moves across the region. The greatest thunderstorm and heavy
rain potential are anticipated along and south of Interstate 40
through Monday afternoon. Instability over far southeast Oklahoma
from mid morning through mid afternoon may create a window for a
limited potential of a couple strong to severe storms near the Red
River. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches and locally higher are
forecast as well for parts of southeast Oklahoma Monday, which on
top of recent rains could lead to localized areas of flash flood
conditions. Rain showers taper off and exit from west to east
Monday evening. A modest cold front pushes through Tuesday and
will cause breezy and gusty north winds Tuesday into Wednesday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

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