546
FLUS44 KTSA 181027
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
527 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
527 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025

...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY FOR MUCH OF THE AREA...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
    AREA...Far Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
    ONSET...Late Morning.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
    ONSET...Ongoing.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Northeast Oklahoma and Far Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Late Morning.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET... .

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Areawide.
    ONSET...Around Sunrise.

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances will continue to increase through the morning
and into this afternoon as an upper level trough and a cold front
approach from the northwest. A few strong to marginally severe
thunderstorms will be possible by or just before sunrise, then
strengthening by late morning and into the afternoon along and
ahead of the cold front. All severe hazards will be possible
including a tornado or two, up to golf ball sized hail, and wind
gusts to 70 mph. Excessive rainfall leading to flooding will also
be a concern where thunderstorms repeat over the same area,
primarily across far northwestern Arkansas. Winds ahead of the
approaching cold front and behind the cold front will be gusty,
with northerly post- frontal gusts between 25 and 35 mph.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...No Hazards.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY...Heavy Rain Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Dry, southerly winds will return and become breezy again Sunday
and especially on Monday ahead of another approaching cold front.
Widespread southerly gusts in excess of 30 mph will occur Monday
morning into the afternoon prior to the cold front pushing through
by Monday evening. More tranquil weather will occur Tuesday and
Wednesday before another storm system approaches late in the week
and storms return.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$