Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
331 FLUS44 KTSA 181858 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1258 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191900- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 1258 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. FIRE WEATHER DANGER. RISK...Limited. AREA...Northeast Oklahoma. ONSET...Ongoing. DISCUSSION... Relatively drier air moving in behind a frontal boundary across northeast Oklahoma will at least locally elevate the fire weather danger for a time this afternoon. The threat is still low overall with generally light northwesterly winds limiting spread rates, but the well above normal temperatures and cured fuels will allow for a limited threat this afternoon. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter Activation Not Expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...No Hazards. SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. MONDAY...Heavy Rain Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Shower and thunderstorm chances return Wednesday evening and overnight ahead of an approaching low pressure system from the desert southwest. An isolated severe potential develops Wednesday evening before instability begins to weaken overnight. Widespread showers and a few embedded thunderstorms continue Thursday and Thursday night, with a heavy rain threat that may lead to an increase in flood concerns. This precipitation is forecast to begin tapering off Friday once the low pressure system moves over the region and a cold front moves through eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$