Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
786 FLUS44 KTSA 161003 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 503 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171015- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 503 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...Afternoon and again after midnight. DANGEROUS HEAT. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and West Central Arkansas. ONSET...Afternoon. DISCUSSION... Isolated thunderstorms are possible this afternoon across eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Overall coverage is expected to remain low through the afternoon, however gusty winds and heavy downpours are possible with any thunderstorm that does develop. Additional thunderstorms are possible across northeast Oklahoma after midnight as a weak cold front approaches the area. A few strong storms are possible late tonight into early Thursday. Heat index values of 100 to 105 degrees are likely to develop this afternoon across eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas. Remember your heat safety guidelines if you plan to be outdoors this afternoon. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter Activation Not Expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. THURSDAY...Thunderstorm and Dangerous Heat Potential. FRIDAY through TUESDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Scattered thunderstorms are forecast for Thursday primarily north of Interstate 40. These storms will be near a weak cold front which is expected to lose definition by Friday. Hot and humid conditions will develop south of the front on Thursday and expand area wide by Friday. A prolonged period of hot and humid days appears likely from this weekend into next week. Afternoon heat index values of 100 to 105 degrees will be common and higher heat stress conditions will impact outdoor activities. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$