847
FLUS44 KTSA 141927
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
227 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-151030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
227 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET..Late Evening Into Early Sunday.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Ongoing.
ONSET...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...This evening.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
After the ongoing storm complex exits southeast Oklahoma and west-
central Arkansas this afternoon, thunderstorms are expected to
redevelop late this evening across north-central Oklahoma. These
storms will grow in strength and coverage across northeast
Oklahoma and eventually spread east and south into the remainder
of Oklahoma and western Arkansas after midnight. Instability and
wind shear will be sufficient for some of this activity to reach
severe limits. Damaging wind gusts to 65 mph and quarter size hail
will be the main threats, however, a tornado are two will also be
possible, especially across northeast Oklahoma. In addition,
torrential downpours with this activity will combine with
saturated soils to produce rapid runoff and flash flooding
potential across portions of northeast Oklahoma late this evening
and overnight. Localized heavy rains will spread across the
remainder of Oklahoma and portions of western Arkansas through
Sunday morning as the storm complex moves south. Although more
limited, some areas are likely to experience further flooding of
low lying and poor drainage areas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances remain in the forecast into early next week,
with a limited severe weather potential. Locally heavy rainfall
will also remain possible with the storms. An uptick in
thunderstorm chances may occur late Wednesday and Wednesday night
as a weak cold front approaches from the north and washes out
somewhere in our vicinity by Thursday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$