


Point Forecast Matrices
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
001 FOUS54 KTSA 141457 PFMTSA Point Forecast Matrices National Weather Service Tulsa OK 956 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 OKZ060-142100- Tulsa-Tulsa OK 36.20N 95.90W Elev. 677 ft 956 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 Date Mon 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 88 72 92 76 93 Temp 82 86 87 86 81 76 74 72 81 89 91 89 83 79 78 76 84 90 92 90 Dewpt 73 71 71 71 71 71 72 72 72 72 72 73 73 72 72 72 72 72 71 71 RH 74 61 59 61 72 85 93100 74 57 54 59 72 79 82 87 67 56 51 54 Wind dir E E E SE SE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S Wind spd 1 2 5 5 4 4 4 5 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 13 14 11 Clouds SC SC SC SC SC SC SC B1 SC SC SC FW SC SC FW FW FW FW SC FW PoP 12hr 10 5 20 5 20 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 Rain shwrs S S S S Tstms S S S S Heat index 92 93 91 96 99 97 90 97 99 96 Max heat 92 94 90 96 99 94 97 100 Date Thu 07/17/25 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 75 94 74 95 75 95 76 96 Temp 81 77 90 90 80 75 91 92 80 76 92 92 82 78 92 93 Dewpt 71 71 71 71 71 71 70 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 PWind dir S S S S S S S S Wind char GN GN LT LT LT GN LT GN Avg clouds FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 10 20 20 10 10 10 5 5 Rain shwrs S S S S Tstms S S S S $$ ARZ029-142100- Fort Smith-Sebastian AR 35.35N 94.39W Elev. 469 ft 956 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 Date Mon 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 86 73 91 75 95 Temp 78 83 85 83 77 76 74 73 81 86 90 89 81 78 76 75 84 91 94 91 Dewpt 73 72 72 72 73 73 73 73 74 74 73 73 74 75 73 74 74 73 71 71 RH 85 70 65 70 87 90 97100 79 68 58 59 79 91 90 97 72 56 47 52 Wind dir S S S S S E SE S S SW SW S SE SE SE SE S SW S S Wind spd 3 4 5 5 2 2 2 2 5 6 8 6 4 3 2 4 5 9 9 6 Clouds B2 B1 B1 B1 SC B1 B2 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 50 30 30 5 20 QPF 12hr 0.01 0 0 0 0 Rain shwrs C C C C C C C C C S S Tstms C C C C C S C C S S Heat index 91 94 98 97 91100101 98 Max heat 91 94 98 93 100 102 Flood A A A A A A A A Date Thu 07/17/25 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 75 96 75 97 75 96 76 97 Temp 79 75 91 92 79 75 91 92 80 76 91 93 80 77 92 93 Dewpt 73 73 72 71 74 73 72 71 74 74 73 72 74 74 73 71 PWind dir SE S SE S SE S SE S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC FW SC SC SC FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 5 10 5 10 5 20 5 10 Rain shwrs S Tstms S $$ OKZ073-142100- McAlester-Pittsburg OK 34.90N 95.78W Elev. 770 ft 956 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 Date Mon 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 86 72 91 74 93 Temp 78 83 84 83 75 73 73 72 81 87 90 87 80 78 76 75 83 90 92 89 Dewpt 73 73 73 73 73 72 72 72 74 74 74 74 73 72 72 72 73 72 71 71 RH 85 72 70 72 94 97 97100 79 65 60 65 79 82 87 90 72 56 51 56 Wind dir S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S Wind spd 1 2 4 3 2 2 2 4 6 8 8 5 5 5 5 5 9 10 10 6 Clouds B1 B1 B1 SC SC B1 B1 B2 SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 40 20 30 5 10 QPF 12hr 0.24 0 0.05 0 0 Rain shwrs C C C S S S S C C Tstms C C C S S S S C C Heat index 90 95 99 95 97 99 95 Max heat 92 95 99 93 97 99 Date Thu 07/17/25 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 74 94 73 95 74 95 75 96 Temp 78 75 90 90 77 74 91 90 77 75 91 90 79 76 91 91 Dewpt 71 70 72 73 71 70 72 73 72 71 73 73 72 72 73 73 PWind dir S S S S S S S S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 5 5 5 10 5 10 5 5 $$ OKZ055-142100- Bartlesville-Washington OK 36.75N 95.97W Elev. 711 ft 956 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 Date Mon 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 88 69 92 73 93 Temp 80 85 87 85 75 73 70 71 81 89 91 90 80 76 75 74 84 91 93 90 Dewpt 72 72 71 71 72 71 70 70 74 74 73 73 73 73 72 71 74 75 74 73 RH 77 65 59 63 90 93100 97 79 61 56 58 79 90 90 90 72 60 54 58 Wind dir E E E SE SE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S Wind spd 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 5 8 8 8 5 5 5 5 10 11 11 9 Clouds SC FW SC FW SC FW SC B1 SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC PoP 12hr 5 5 10 5 20 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 Rain shwrs S S Tstms S S Heat index 90 93 90 98100 98 91102103 98 Max heat 90 93 98 100 94 102 103 Date Thu 07/17/25 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 73 93 72 94 72 95 73 96 Temp 77 75 90 89 76 73 90 89 77 74 91 91 77 75 92 92 Dewpt 71 70 73 73 71 70 73 72 72 71 73 72 71 70 74 73 PWind dir S S S S S S S S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW SC SC SC B1 SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 20 30 30 20 10 10 5 5 Rain shwrs S S C C C S Tstms S S C C S S $$ ARZ010-142100- Fayetteville-Washington AR 36.01N 94.17W Elev. 1251 ft 956 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 Date Mon 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 83 69 88 72 91 Temp 77 80 82 79 73 70 69 71 79 84 88 85 77 74 74 73 83 88 91 88 Dewpt 71 70 71 70 71 70 69 70 72 71 71 71 72 72 71 71 72 72 71 71 RH 82 72 69 74 93100100 97 79 65 57 63 85 93 90 93 70 59 52 57 Wind dir S S SW S SE S S S SW SW SW S S S S S SW SW S S Wind spd 4 4 4 2 1 1 1 2 5 9 9 5 4 3 4 5 9 10 10 6 Clouds B2 B1 B2 B1 SC SC B2 OV B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC FW FW SC SC FW PoP 12hr 40 20 30 10 20 QPF 12hr 0.09 0.06 0.02 0 0 Rain shwrs C C C S S S S S C C S S S S Tstms C C C S S S S C C S S S S Heat index 94 90 95 98 94 Max heat 94 95 98 Flood A A A A A A A A Date Thu 07/17/25 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 72 93 71 94 72 93 73 94 Temp 76 75 89 88 75 73 90 88 75 74 90 89 76 75 90 89 Dewpt 70 69 70 70 70 68 69 69 70 69 71 70 71 70 71 71 PWind dir S SW S SW S SW S S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC FW SC FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 10 20 10 20 10 20 5 10 Rain shwrs S S S S Tstms S S S $$ ARZ002-142100- Berryville-Carroll AR 36.36N 93.56W Elev. 1296 ft 956 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 Date Mon 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 83 69 88 71 93 Temp 77 80 82 79 73 70 69 69 78 84 87 83 75 73 71 73 83 89 92 87 Dewpt 72 72 72 71 70 70 69 69 73 73 72 72 71 71 70 70 74 72 71 71 RH 85 77 72 77 90100100100 85 70 61 70 87 93 97 90 74 57 51 59 Wind dir W S S S SE S S S SW SW SW SW S S S S SW SW SW SW Wind spd 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 4 6 6 5 3 3 4 4 8 9 9 5 Clouds B1 B1 B1 B2 SC SC B1 B2 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC FW FW SC SC SC PoP 12hr 50 20 30 10 20 QPF 12hr 0.02 0.04 0.03 0 0 Rain shwrs S C C S S S S C C S S S S Tstms S C C S S S S C C S S S S Heat index 90 94 90 96 99 93 Max heat 90 94 96 99 Flood A A A A A A A A Date Thu 07/17/25 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 71 94 72 94 71 94 73 95 Temp 76 72 90 87 76 73 90 86 75 72 90 87 76 74 91 88 Dewpt 70 69 71 71 70 69 71 71 70 69 71 71 71 70 72 71 PWind dir S SW S SW S SW S SW Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC FW SC FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 10 20 10 20 10 20 5 10 Rain shwrs S S S S Tstms S S S S $$ OKZ070-142100- Muskogee-Muskogee OK 35.66N 95.36W Elev. 611 ft 956 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 Date Mon 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 85 71 90 73 92 Temp 77 81 84 83 77 73 72 71 79 86 89 88 78 76 75 74 83 89 92 90 Dewpt 72 72 73 73 74 73 72 71 74 74 74 75 74 74 73 72 74 74 72 72 RH 85 74 70 72 90100100100 85 68 61 66 88 94 94 93 74 61 52 56 Wind dir S SE S S SE S S SE S S S S S S S S S S S S Wind spd 1 3 3 3 2 2 3 4 5 8 8 5 5 5 5 5 9 10 10 6 Clouds B1 B1 SC B1 SC SC SC B2 B1 SC SC SC SC FW FW SC FW SC FW SC PoP 12hr 30 10 30 5 20 QPF 12hr 0.02 0 0 0 0 Rain shwrs C S C S S C C S S S S Tstms C S C S C C S S S S Heat index 90 94 98 98 90 98100 97 Max heat 92 94 99 94 98 100 Date Thu 07/17/25 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 74 93 73 93 74 93 75 94 Temp 77 75 89 90 77 74 89 91 77 75 89 90 79 76 90 92 Dewpt 71 70 72 73 72 71 72 73 73 72 72 73 74 72 73 73 PWind dir S S S S S S S S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 10 10 10 10 5 10 5 5 $$ OKZ058-142100- Miami-Ottawa OK 36.90N 94.86W Elev. 808 ft 956 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 Date Mon 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 86 70 90 73 93 Temp 77 82 85 83 75 73 71 72 79 86 90 88 78 76 75 74 83 90 92 89 Dewpt 71 72 72 71 72 72 71 71 74 74 74 73 73 73 73 72 75 75 74 73 RH 82 72 65 67 90 97100 97 85 68 60 61 85 90 94 93 77 62 56 59 Wind dir W SE E SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S S S SW S S Wind spd 1 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 5 8 8 6 5 5 5 6 10 11 11 9 Clouds SC SC SC SC SC SC B1 B2 SC SC SC FW SC FW FW FW FW FW SC SC PoP 12hr 20 5 20 10 20 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 Rain shwrs S S S S S S S S Tstms S S S S S S S S Heat index 91 94 99 96 90101102 97 Max heat 92 94 99 92 101 102 Date Thu 07/17/25 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 73 93 72 93 73 94 74 94 Temp 77 74 89 89 76 74 89 89 77 75 90 90 77 75 90 90 Dewpt 71 70 73 73 72 71 73 73 72 71 73 73 71 72 73 73 PWind dir S SW S S S S S S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW FW SC SC B1 SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 20 30 30 20 10 20 5 10 Rain shwrs S S C S C S S S Tstms S S C S S S S S $$ OKZ066-142100- Henryetta-Okmulgee OK 35.44N 95.98W Elev. 849 ft 956 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 Date Mon 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 86 71 91 73 92 Temp 75 83 85 84 76 73 72 71 80 88 90 88 78 76 75 74 83 89 91 89 Dewpt 72 72 73 73 73 73 72 71 74 75 74 75 74 73 72 72 74 74 72 72 RH 90 70 67 70 90100100100 82 66 60 66 88 90 90 93 74 61 54 57 Wind dir S SE S SE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S Wind spd 3 2 3 3 2 2 2 4 5 6 8 5 5 5 5 5 9 10 10 6 Clouds B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC FW FW SC FW FW SC FW PoP 12hr 20 10 20 5 10 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 Rain shwrs S S S S S S S Tstms S S S S S S Heat index 92 90 98 99 98 90 98 99 96 Max heat 93 98 99 94 98 100 Date Thu 07/17/25 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 74 93 73 94 74 94 74 95 Temp 77 75 89 90 77 74 90 90 77 75 90 90 78 76 91 92 Dewpt 70 70 73 73 71 70 73 73 72 72 73 73 72 71 73 73 PWind dir S S S S S S S S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 10 10 10 10 5 10 5 5 $$ OKZ053-142100- Hugo-Choctaw OK 34.02N 95.52W Elev. 572 ft 956 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 Date Mon 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 86 71 90 73 91 Temp 77 81 84 83 77 73 73 71 78 86 89 86 79 76 75 73 82 88 91 89 Dewpt 73 73 73 73 73 73 72 71 74 74 73 73 73 72 72 71 72 72 70 71 RH 87 77 70 72 87100 97100 88 68 59 65 82 87 90 93 72 59 50 56 Wind dir S S S S S SE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S Wind spd 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 4 5 6 8 5 5 4 4 5 6 9 9 5 Clouds B2 B1 SC B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 40 30 30 5 5 QPF 12hr 0.03 0.11 0 0 0 Rain shwrs C C C C S S S S S C C Tstms C C C C S S S S S C C Heat index 90 94 97 93 95 97 95 Max heat 92 94 97 90 95 97 Flood A A A A A A A A Date Thu 07/17/25 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 73 93 72 93 73 91 74 94 Temp 76 73 90 90 76 73 89 89 77 74 87 88 77 75 90 90 Dewpt 70 69 71 71 71 70 72 72 72 72 73 72 73 72 73 72 PWind dir S S SE S SE S S S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC FW SC SC SC SC SC FW FW PoP 12hr 0 0 0 5 5 10 5 5 $$ OKZ060-142100- Jenks-Tulsa OK 36.04N 95.98W Elev. 638 ft 956 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 Date Mon 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 CDT 3hrly 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 87 72 92 75 93 Temp 79 84 85 85 79 75 73 72 81 89 91 88 81 78 76 75 84 90 92 90 Dewpt 74 74 73 74 74 73 72 72 75 75 75 75 75 74 72 72 74 75 74 74 RH 85 72 67 70 85 94 97100 82 64 60 66 82 88 87 90 72 62 56 60 Wind dir E SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S Wind spd 1 2 4 4 2 2 2 3 5 8 9 8 5 5 5 5 10 11 11 9 Clouds SC SC SC SC SC SC SC B1 SC FW SC SC SC SC FW SC FW FW SC SC PoP 12hr 10 5 20 5 20 QPF 12hr 0.01 0 0 0 0 Rain shwrs S S S S Tstms S S S S Heat index 91 92 93 99102 98 91101102 99 Max heat 91 93 90 99 102 95 101 103 Date Thu 07/17/25 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 CDT 6hrly 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 74 94 74 95 74 95 76 96 Temp 79 75 90 90 79 74 91 92 79 75 92 92 80 77 92 93 Dewpt 71 71 74 73 71 71 73 73 72 72 73 73 72 71 73 73 PWind dir S S S S S S S S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 10 20 20 10 5 10 5 5 Rain shwrs S S S Tstms S S S $$