Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
561
FNUS55 KTWC 142243
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
343 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions and high temperatures 5-8 degrees
above normal will continue through Saturday. A storm system will
begin to move into the area from the west late Saturday through
Sunday, resulting in a chance of showers and thunderstorms and
cooler temperatures. Breezy southwest winds of 15-25 mph with gusts
to 30-35 mph are expected on Sunday. Minimum RH values in the
valleys of 20-25 percent and 25-30 percent in the mounatins will
occur Saturday, with Min RH values well above critical levels Sunday
through all of next week at 33-43 percent in the valleys and 50-60+
percent in the mountains. Another storm system is expected to move
into the area late Monday into Tuesday, continuing through at least
Wednesday of next week. This system will bring another round of
precipitation across southeast Arizona, along with breezy south to
southwest winds Tuesday.
AZZ150-151415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
343 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............56 to 66 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 16 to 20 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............7663 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 16 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (153260 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........53 to 63 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............78 to 88 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 35 mph increasing to
southwest around 45 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 degs.
* Min Humidity.............50 to 60 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............6036 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 23 to 26 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (156936 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 65 to 75. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 39 to 49 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 61 to 71. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 44 to 54 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 45 to 55.
Highs 59 to 69. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 50 to 60 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 44 to
54. Highs 60 to 70.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 43 to 53.
Highs 61 to 71.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-151415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
343 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........45 to 55 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............54 to 64 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 10 mph increasing to around
20 mph after midnight.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............5773 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 12 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (98141 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........48 to 58 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 20 to 24 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 25 mph increasing to
around 40 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 degs.
* Min Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 24 to 28 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 45 mph decreasing to
around 35 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............4488 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 23 to 27 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (121176 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 62 to 72. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 37 to 47 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 59 to 69. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 46 to 56 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 41 to 51.
Highs 54 to 64. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 58 to 68 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 38 to 48.
Highs 54 to 64.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 37 to 47.
Highs 56 to 66.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-151415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
343 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........44 to 54 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............54 to 64 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............5979 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 9 knots shifting to the
southwest 13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (77727 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........47 to 57 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 19 to 23 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 35 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 degs.
* Min Humidity.............49 to 59 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 22 to 26 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............6578 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 20 to 28 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (184184 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 61 to 71. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 60 to 70. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 40 to 50 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 55 to 65. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 53 to 63 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 38 to
48. Highs 55 to 65.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 37 to 47.
Highs 56 to 66.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-151415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
343 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........39 to 49 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............53 to 63 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming south around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............5355 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 11 knots shifting to the southwest
13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (69615 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........41 to 51 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............74 to 84 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........51 to 61 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 degs.
* Min Humidity.............62 to 72 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 35 to 39 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............5196 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 18 to 23 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (119508 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 50 to 60. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 46 to 56 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 49 to 59. Southeast wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 46 to 56 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 44 to 54. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 62 to 72 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 31 to 41.
Highs 46 to 56.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of snow showers, slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows 30 to 40. Highs 46 to 56.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-151415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
343 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........44 to 54 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 10 mph increasing to around
20 mph after midnight.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............6135 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 12 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (82822 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........44 to 54 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............66 to 76 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 20 to 24 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 35 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........54 to 64 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 degs.
* Min Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 24 to 28 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............6745 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 24 to 30 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (182115 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 37 to 47. Highs 53 to 63. Southwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 42 to 52 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 51 to 61. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 45 to 55 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 38 to 48.
Highs 46 to 56. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 62 to 72 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 35 to 45.
Highs 46 to 56.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 34 to 44.
Highs 47 to 57.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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