Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
723
FNUS55 KTWC 142046
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
146 PM MST Sat Jun 14 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Dry and hot conditions are expected across
southeast Arizona through early next week. Generally single digit
min RH values in the valleys, with mountain locations in the 10-18
percent range. There are slight chances (less than 10 percent)
for dry lightning Sunday afternoon in Southeast Cochise County.
These dry lightning chances can also bring erratic and gusty
winds of 30 mph or higher. Otherwise, 20-foot winds will be 15 mph
or less from Tucson westward, with occasional afternoon/early
evening gusts to around 20 mph due to the strong surface heating.
East of Tucson, breezy afternoon and early evening 20-foot winds
are expected in the Gila River Valley on Sunday with peak wind
speeds of 12-18 mph and gusts to around 30 mph. Expect similar to
slightly stronger speeds from Tucson eastward Monday and Tuesday
as a weak weather system moves through. The strongest winds will
again be in the upper Gila River valley near Safford, with the
possibility of a few hours of near critical to brief critical fire
weather conditions.
AZZ150-151430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
146 PM MST Sat Jun 14 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........70 to 80 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 5 mph increasing to around
15 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........104 to 114 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............4 to 9 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 15 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............16595 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northeast 6 knots shifting to the
southwest 15 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (248925 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........102 to 112 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 14 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 15 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............14095 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 10 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (225520 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 100 to 110. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 16 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 101 to 111. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 5 to 14 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 102 to 112. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 11 pct.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 100 to 110.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-151430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
146 PM MST Sat Jun 14 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Max Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (0-10 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 12 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 20 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............15697 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 10 knots shifting to the southwest
17 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (266849 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 12 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............12410 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 11 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (223380 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 95 to 105. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 13 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 98 to 108. Southwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 96 to 106.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 92 to 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-151430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
146 PM MST Sat Jun 14 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny (0-10 pct) then becoming partly
cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............4 to 9 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 20 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............15320 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 8 knots shifting to the
southwest 16 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (245120 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............4 to 9 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............15214 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 12 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (304280 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 96 to 106. West wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 95 to 105. West wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 9 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 98 to 108. West
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 9 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 97 to 107.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-151430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
146 PM MST Sat Jun 14 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the north
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 12 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph increasing to
southwest around 20 mph in the
afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............16391 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 12 knots shifting to the southwest
16 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (262256 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........87 to 97 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 9 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............13726 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 15 to 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (288246 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 85 to 95. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 10 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 5 to 9 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 88 to 98. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 6 to 9 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 87 to 97.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 85 to 95.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-151430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
146 PM MST Sat Jun 14 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............13 to 21 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 14 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 20 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............18225 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 10 knots shifting to the
southwest 16 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (291600 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............11 to 20 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 12 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............16056 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 12 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (248868 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 85 to 95. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 13 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 85 to 95. West wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 88 to 98. West
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 86 to 96.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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