Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
598
FNUS55 KTWC 052056
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
156 PM MST Sun Oct 5 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Minimum relative humidities mainly 12-20 percent
through Tuesday. Breezy winds of 12-18 mph with gusts to 30 mph
mainly through Santa Cruz and southern Cochise counties, with
lighter winds to the north today. Winds mainly on the lighter
side to start the work week, with potentially gusty southeasterly
winds in the Gila River Valley Wednesday. A push of moisture
should begin to bring up minimum relative humidities through the
second half of the week, however rain chances remain low through
the remainder of the work week becoming 15-30 percent next
weekend.
AZZ150-061415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
156 PM MST Sun Oct 5 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 17 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............9081 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 9 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (90810 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............9737 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 9 knots shifting to the south
11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (107107 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 91 to 101. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 91 to 101. East
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 93 to 103. Southeast wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 89 to 99.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-061415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
156 PM MST Sun Oct 5 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........50 to 60 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............40 to 50 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (0-10 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 20 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph becoming south
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............7112 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 12 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (92456 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........54 to 64 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............35 to 45 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............7693 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 11 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (100009 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 84 to 94. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 84 to 94. East wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 85 to 95. Southeast wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 84 to 94.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 78 to 88.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-061415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
156 PM MST Sun Oct 5 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........50 to 60 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............7894 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 10 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (94728 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........54 to 64 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............7845 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 11 knots shifting to the south 12
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (94140 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 82 to 92. East
wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 81 to 91. East
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 82 to 92. East wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 82 to 92.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 78 to 88.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-061415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
156 PM MST Sun Oct 5 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........43 to 53 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 20 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............6904 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 11 knots shifting to the south
13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (89752 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........47 to 57 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............8741 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 14 knots shifting to the south 16
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (139856 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 70 to 80. Southeast wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 71 to 81. East wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 71 to 81. Southeast wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 70 to 80.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 66 to 76.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-061415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
156 PM MST Sun Oct 5 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........47 to 57 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............14 to 24 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............7879 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 11 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (90608 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 10 mph increasing to around
20 mph after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............8562 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 10 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (94182 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 72 to 82. East wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 72 to 82. East
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 34 to 44 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 73 to 83. East wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 72 to 82.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 68 to 78.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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