Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
219
FNUS55 KTWC 200951
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
251 AM MST Thu Jun 20 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Temperatures are expected to peak today from
Tucson westward, then more seasonable temperatures thereafter.
Starting this morning, surface winds turn to the east to
southeast and become stronger, especially across
Graham/Greenlee/Cochise Counties where sustained 20-ft winds of 20
to 35 mph are expected with stronger gusts. The strongest of
these winds will be in the Upper Gila River Valley near Safford as
well as near Douglas along the International and NM borders. With
these east to southeast winds, there will be increased moisture
with min RH values in these locales around 20 percent Thursday. So
while the winds are at critical levels, RH values will remain
just above critical levels but certainly still elevated fire
weather conditions due to the strong winds and dry fuels Thursday.
Breezy to windy conditions continue Friday, though increased
moisture will have overspread more of the forecast area. A mixture
of dry/wet isolated to scattered are expected starting Thursday
afternoon from Tucson eastward and then to include the remainder
of southeast Arizona Friday. As moisture remains this weekend,
isolated to scattered thunderstorms will continue each day through
the weekend into early next week with a low to mid grade monsoon
pattern in place.
AZZ150-202230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
251 AM MST Thu Jun 20 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny then becoming partly cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........104 to 114 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............16795 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 15 knots shifting to the south 21
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (352695 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust in
the evening. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 degs.
* Max Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. South around 30 mph shifting to
the southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........102 to 112 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 25 mph decreasing to around
15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............13525 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 17 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (324600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 98 to 108. Southwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
23 to 33 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 73 to 83. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
19 to 29 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 102 to 112.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 77 to 87. Highs 102 to 112.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-202230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
251 AM MST Thu Jun 20 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 25 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............13160 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 26 to 28 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (368480 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the evening.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............13233 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 19 to 23 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (304359 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows
68 to 78. Highs 91 to 101. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 91 to 101. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 30 to 40 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 92 to 102. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 26 to 36 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 95 to 105.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 71 to 81. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-202230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
251 AM MST Thu Jun 20 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 30 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8967 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 31 to 32 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (286944 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the evening.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............7256 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 25 to 29 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (210424 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 90 to 100. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 93 to 103. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 96 to 106.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 71 to 81. Highs 97 to 107.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-202230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
251 AM MST Thu Jun 20 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 35 to 40 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8753 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 30 to 32 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (280096 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 30 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........77 to 87 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9016 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 24 to 28 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (252448 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 80 to 90. Southeast wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
25 to 35 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
24 to 34 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 86 to 96.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 87 to 97.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-202230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
251 AM MST Thu Jun 20 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 16 to 20 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 35 mph decreasing to
around 25 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............15914 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 29 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (461506 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............65 to 75 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms
likely.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............12730 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 22 to 26 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (305520 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 80 to 90. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 81 to 91. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 83 to 93. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 85 to 95.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 86 to 96.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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