Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
727
FNUS55 KTWC 142139
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
239 PM MST Fri Jun 14 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...
Hot and dry conditions continue this weekend. Winds should be
lighter but typical afternoon breeziness is still expected.
Minimum relative humidities this weekend will range from 4 to 9
percent in the lower elevations and 9 to 14 percent in the
mountains. Winds should come up on Monday, though at this moment
still look likely to remain just below critical thresholds. This
day will need watching for fire weather conditions if winds
increase.
AZZ150-151415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
239 PM MST Fri Jun 14 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........101 to 111 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............4 to 10 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11072 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 7 knots shifting to the west 9
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (99648 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........100 to 110 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 15 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11689 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 14 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (198713 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. South wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 16 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 94 to 104. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 5 to 15 pct.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 103 to 113.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 71 to 81. Highs 105 to 115.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-151415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
239 PM MST Fri Jun 14 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............17 to 27 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 15 mph shifting to the north
after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 11 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10753 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 6 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (107530 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 12 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............9532 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 11 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (142980 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 92 to 102. Southwest wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 90 to 100. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 16 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 8 to 13 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 99 to 109.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-151415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
239 PM MST Fri Jun 14 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Max Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 15 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............4 to 11 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 15 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10308 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 7 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (123696 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 10 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 5 mph increasing to
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............12472 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 8 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (187080 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 92 to 102. Southwest wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 91 to 101. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 13 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 13 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 97 to 107.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-151415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
239 PM MST Fri Jun 14 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Max Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the north
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 14 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............10826 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 8 knots shifting to the west 12
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (129912 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 13 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............10927 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 10 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (174832 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 81 to 91. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 13 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 81 to 91. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 14 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 83 to 93. West wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 14 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 85 to 95.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-151415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
239 PM MST Fri Jun 14 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............13 to 21 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 13 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11602 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 7 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (110219 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............20 to 28 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 14 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 5 mph increasing to
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............13012 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 9 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (162650 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 82 to 92. Southwest wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 80 to 90. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 16 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 7 to 16 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 87 to 97.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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