Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
173
FNUS55 KTWC 151935
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1235 PM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...
A more active monsoon pattern this week. Deeper atmospheric
moisture moving into the will increase the potential for heavy
rainfall and localized flash flooding, especially today.
Temperatures will remain above normal through today, then drop
back down to near or slightly below normal by mid week. Winds will
remain westerly from 10-15 mph, with occasional gusts at or above
25 mph, and even gustier in and around thunderstorm activity.
Afternoon RH values in the low lying areas will be between 10-15%
this afternoon, then 20-30% through the remainder of the week.
AZZ150-161430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
1235 PM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............54 to 64 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............7454 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 12 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (104356 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............50 to 60 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............9758 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 8 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (78064 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 82. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
18 to 28 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 71 to 81. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 82. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
14 to 24 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 96 to 106.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 97 to 107.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-161430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
1235 PM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............71 to 81 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............6693 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 10 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (73623 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............66 to 76 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............7497 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 7 to 9 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (67473 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
24 to 34 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
23 to 33 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
19 to 29 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 90 to 100.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 91 to 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-161430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
1235 PM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............5847 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 15 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (93552 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (80-90 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8444 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 9 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (92884 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
21 to 31 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
21 to 31 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
17 to 27 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 90 to 100.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 91 to 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-161430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
1235 PM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 10 mph increasing to
north around 20 mph after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Thunderstorms
and slight chance of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........80 pct.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............35 to 45 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............6745 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 14 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (101175 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............68 to 78 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Showers with
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........90 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........77 to 87 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............8845 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 7 knots shifting to the
southwest 11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (97295 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 57 to
67. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
25 to 35 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
23 to 33 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 80 to 90.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-161430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
1235 PM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Thunderstorms
likely and chance of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............6160 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 13 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (83160 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8687 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 8 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (78183 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
29 to 39 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
28 to 38 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
25 to 35 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 80 to 90.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 81 to 91.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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