Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
422
FNUS55 KTWC 092137
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
237 PM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...High temperatures will be 4-7 degrees above normal
through Friday, falling to 3-9 degrees below normal Saturday into
the middle of next week. Tropical moisture moving northward through
Mexico will result in increasing chances for widespread showers and
isolated thunderstorms through at least early next week. There will
be the potential for widespread rainfall accumulating over several
days, Saturday into Tuesday. Minimum RH values will be at least 25+
percent in the valley`s, with values in the Saturday through Tuesday
time frame at 40+ percent. 20-foot wind speeds will generally be 15
mph or less into the middle of next week and gusts to 20-25 mph.
AZZ150-101300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
237 PM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............56 to 66 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............8109 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 12 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (113526 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............6898 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 13 knots shifting to the
southwest 20 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (137960 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 78 to 88. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 52 to 62 pct.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 76 to 86. South
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 49 to 59 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 60 to
70. Highs 77 to 87. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity
41 to 51 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 75 to 85.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 75 to 85.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-101300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
237 PM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............8396 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (125940 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............75 to 85 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 15 mph increasing to
south around 25 mph after midnight.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............49 to 59 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 19 to 23 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............6365 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 16 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (120935 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 58 to
68. Highs 70 to 80. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 67 to 77 pct.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 68 to 78. South
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 69 to 79 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 72 to 82. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 56 to 66 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 72 to 82.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 72 to 82.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-101300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
237 PM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............66 to 76 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............6661 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (139881 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............68 to 78 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........77 to 87 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............6240 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 12 knots shifting to the southwest
16 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (99840 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 57 to
67. Highs 69 to 79. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 66 to 76 pct.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 66 to 76. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 67 to 77 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 71 to 81. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 56 to 66 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 72 to 82.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 72 to 82.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-101300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
237 PM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........10 pct.
* Min Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............75 to 85 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 25 to 30 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 30 mph decreasing to
around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............6326 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (132846 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............75 to 85 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 19 to 23 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............4056 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 13 knots shifting to the
southwest 14 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (56784 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 50 to
60. Highs 59 to 69. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 67 to 77 pct.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 57 to 67. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 73 to 83 pct.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows 49 to 59. Highs 61 to 71. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
62 to 72 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 62 to 72.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 62 to 72.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-101300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
237 PM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........10 pct.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............65 to 75 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............7237 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 17 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (126647 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
cloudy (85-95 pct). Showers and chance
of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............5826 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 15 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (99042 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 53 to
63. Highs 59 to 69. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 77 to 87 pct.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 58 to 68. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 77 to 87 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 62 to 72. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 67 to 77 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 63 to 73.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 63 to 73.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson