Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
654
FNUS55 KTWC 162150
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
250 PM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will be slightly cooler than normal
today and Thursday, then near normal late this week. Deep moisture
in the area today will move northward tomorrow, decreasing
moisture over the weekend into early next week. Afternoon winds
will remain westerly from 10-15 mph, with occasional gusts at or
above 25 mph. Afternoon RH values in the low lying areas will be
20-30% through Friday decreasing to 17-25% over the weekend.
AZZ150-171445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
250 PM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............10313 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 7 to 8 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (82504 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............49 to 59 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............10824 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 6 to 8 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (86592 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 82. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
19 to 29 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 82. Highs 94 to 104.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-171445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
250 PM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............73 to 83 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............9738 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 7 to 9 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (87642 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
mostly clear (15-25 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............10709 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 6 knots shifting to the southwest
7 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (74963 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
20 to 30 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
23 to 33 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 89 to 99.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-171445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
250 PM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............70 to 80 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............9076 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 8 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (99836 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............56 to 66 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............7554 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 6 knots shifting to the
southwest 9 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (67986 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
21 to 31 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
19 to 29 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 19 to 29 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-171445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
250 PM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
thunderstorms and slight chance of
showers.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............74 to 84 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........77 to 87 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8058 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 8 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (80580 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct) then becoming
mostly clear (20-30 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............10291 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 7 knots shifting to the southwest 8
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (82328 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 68. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
26 to 36 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
22 to 32 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
18 to 28 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 80 to 90.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 68. Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-171445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
250 PM MST Wed Jul 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............73 to 83 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8915 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 7 to 9 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (71320 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
thunderstorms and slight chance of
showers.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............9967 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 6 knots shifting to the southwest
7 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (69769 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 30 to 40 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 77 to 87. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
27 to 37 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 77 to 87. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
27 to 37 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 78 to 88.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 79 to 89.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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