874
FNUS55 KTWC 151945
FWFTWC

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1241 PM MST Sat Jun 15 2024

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MONDAY, WITH SOME AREAS
NEAR CRITICAL TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF TUCSON...

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
    20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
    TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

.DISCUSSION...Hot and dry conditions will continue through the
weekend, with a few degrees of cooling early next week. High
temperatures will then heat back up late next week, with the hottest
temperatures of 2024 possible on Thursday and Friday. Through the
middle of next week, expect min RH values of 4-9 percent in the
lower elevations and 8-15 percent in the mountains, along with
overnight recoveries between 25-40 percent in most locations. RH
values then increase 5-10 percent the latter half of next week. 20-
foot winds will follow typical diurnal patterns, with afternoon and
early evening gustiness due to strong surface heating. Sustained 20-
foot wind speeds will be 15 mph or less through Sunday. Winds then
increase on Monday, with southwest winds of 15-20 mph and gusts to
30-35 mph. A few areas will be near critical fire weather thresholds
Monday, especially to the east/southeast of Tucson, but at this time
we not expecting it to be widespread enough for a watch or warning.
Elevated afternoon/early evening winds of 15-20 mph then continue
for much of next week. By the end of next week, the models show an
increase in mid-level moisture, resulting in a slight chance mainly
dry thunderstorms to the east of Tucson Thursday and Friday and as
far west as Tucson next Saturday.

AZZ150-161445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
1241 PM MST Sat Jun 15 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south
  after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
  southwest after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........100 to 110 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 15 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11802 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 13 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (200634 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 16 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............10218 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 20 to 23 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (235014 knot-ft).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 94 to 104. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 15 pct.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 103 to 113. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 105 to 115.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 102 to 112.

NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)

$$

AZZ151-161445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
1241 PM MST Sat Jun 15 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 12 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............9442 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 9 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (132188 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............34 to 44 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South to southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............7990 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 19 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (175780 knot-ft).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 90 to 100. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 14 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 7 to 13 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 99 to 109.
Southeast wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 98 to 108.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 96 to 106.

NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)

$$

AZZ152-161445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
1241 PM MST Sat Jun 15 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 11 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............11997 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 9 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (179955 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 10 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South to southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10841 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 15 to 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (227661 knot-ft).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 90 to 100. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 96 to 106. Southeast wind
around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 94 to 104.

NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)

$$

AZZ153-161445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
1241 PM MST Sat Jun 15 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 12 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10036 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 12 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (170612 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 14 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10046 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 16 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (221012 knot-ft).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 80 to 90. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 14 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 83 to 93. Southwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 12 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 84 to 94. Southeast wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 84 to 94.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93.

NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)

$$

AZZ154-161445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
1241 PM MST Sat Jun 15 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 14 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............12339 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 9 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (141898 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
*    24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct.
*    24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South to southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11256 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 17 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (219492 knot-ft).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 80 to 90. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 15 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 7 to 16 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 87 to 97.
Southeast wind around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 85 to 95.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 83 to 93.

NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE

$$

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