Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
442
FNUS55 KTWC 172053
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
153 PM MST Mon Nov 17 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Another storm system will impact Southeast Arizona
late Tuesday across central and western Pima county, then the
rest of Southeast Arizona Wednesday into Thursday morning. This
feature will bring another round of precipitation including snow
above 7000 feet, well below normal temperatures and breezy south
to southwest winds (Tuesday). RH values will be well above
critical levels, with Min RH values 30-40 percent in the valleys
and 60-70+ percent in the mountains.
AZZ150-181415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
153 PM MST Mon Nov 17 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........49 to 59 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............82 to 92 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............47 to 57 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............6536 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 22 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (156864 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........47 to 57 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............85 to 95 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............6087 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 12 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (85218 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 42 to
52. Highs 55 to 65. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 46 to 56 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 39 to 49. Highs
59 to 69. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 39 to 49 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 42 to 52.
Highs 62 to 72. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 38 to 48 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 58 to 68.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 60 to 70.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-181415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
153 PM MST Mon Nov 17 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........42 to 52 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............81 to 91 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............43 to 53 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............5248 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 20 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (115456 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........42 to 52 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............85 to 95 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............56 to 66 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............3962 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 20 to 23 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (91126 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 37 to 47.
Highs 50 to 60. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 50 to 60 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 32 to 42.
Highs 55 to 65. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 37 to
47. Highs 58 to 68. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 37 to 47 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 36 to 46.
Highs 55 to 65.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 56 to 66.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-181415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
153 PM MST Mon Nov 17 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........40 to 50 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............76 to 86 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............5635 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 16 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (107065 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........43 to 53 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............82 to 92 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............53 to 63 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............4824 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 19 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (115776 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 49 to 59. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 50 to 60 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 30 to 40. Highs 54 to 64. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 37 to 47 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 35 to
45. Highs 57 to 67. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 35 to 45 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 34 to 44.
Highs 56 to 66.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 32 to 42. Highs 54 to 64.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-181415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
153 PM MST Mon Nov 17 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........34 to 44 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............78 to 88 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........49 to 59 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............5041 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 17 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (90738 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........36 to 46 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............83 to 93 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........45 to 55 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............71 to 81 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............5039 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 17 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (110858 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, snow showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 31 to 41. Highs 37 to 47.
Light winds. Minimum Humidity 69 to 79 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 23 to 33.
Highs 43 to 53. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 41 to 51 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows 28 to 38. Highs 48 to 58. Light winds. Minimum
Humidity 37 to 47 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 29 to 39.
Highs 47 to 57.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 27 to 37. Highs 47 to 57.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-181415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
153 PM MST Mon Nov 17 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........38 to 48 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............75 to 85 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........51 to 61 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............53 to 63 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............5482 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 19 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (112381 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........39 to 49 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............83 to 93 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........49 to 59 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............62 to 72 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............6434 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 21 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (144765 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 33 to 43. Highs 41 to 51. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 59 to 69 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 28 to 38.
Highs 46 to 56. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 42 to 52 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 34 to 44.
Highs 48 to 58. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 41 to 51 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 33 to 43.
Highs 47 to 57.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 31 to 41. Highs 46 to 56.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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