Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
798
FNUS55 KTWC 142041
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
141 PM MST Mon Jul 14 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...A more active monsoon pattern this week.
Deeper atmospheric moisture moving into the will increase the
potential for heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding,
especially on Tuesday. Temperatures will remain above normal through
Tuesday, then drop back down to near or slightly below normal by mid
week. Winds will remain westerly from 10-15 mph, with occasional
gusts at or above 25 mph. Afternoon RH values in the low lying areas
will be between 10-15% this afternoon, then 20-30% through the
remainder of the week.
AZZ150-151415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
141 PM MST Mon Jul 14 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............47 to 57 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
thunderstorms and slight chance of
showers.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............8895 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (133425 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 10 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............6930 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 15 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (124740 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 82. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
26 to 36 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 71 to 81. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
19 to 29 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 73 to 83. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
18 to 28 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 95 to 105.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-151415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
141 PM MST Mon Jul 14 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph increasing to
west around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............7717 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 10 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (131189 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Thunderstorms
likely and chance of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........60 pct.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............4647 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 11 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (55764 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
64 to 74. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 32 to
42 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
26 to 36 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
24 to 34 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 88 to 98.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 89 to 99.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-151415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
141 PM MST Mon Jul 14 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southwest around 25 mph
decreasing to around 15 mph after
midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8657 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 12 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (164483 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............62 to 72 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............6240 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 13 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (93600 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
64 to 74. Highs 85 to 95. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 28 to 38 pct.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 64 to
74. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 88 to 98.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 90 to 100.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-151415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
141 PM MST Mon Jul 14 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............61 to 71 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. North around 25 mph becoming
west around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. West around 15 mph increasing to
around 25 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............7925 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 12 to 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (166425 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 20 mph becoming northwest
around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............5591 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 13 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (83865 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 77 to 87. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
29 to 39 pct.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 57 to 67. Highs
78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 77 to 87. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
25 to 35 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 78 to 88.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 81 to 91.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-151415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
141 PM MST Mon Jul 14 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............61 to 71 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............8903 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 10 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (115739 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............70 to 80 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........60 pct.
* Max Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............6645 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 12 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (83062 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 58 to 68.
Highs 74 to 84. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 39 to
49 pct.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 59 to 69. Highs
77 to 87. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 32 to 42 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 76 to 86. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
32 to 42 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 78 to 88.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 79 to 89.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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