Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
280
FNUS55 KTWC 192132
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
232 PM MST Wed Nov 19 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...A storm system will continue to impact Southeast
Arizona this afternoon through Thursday. This system will bring
numerous showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms, snowfall to
the mountains above 7000 feet, well below normal temperatures and
breezy south to southwest winds. Minimum RH values will be well
above critical levels over the next week between 35-45 percent in
the valleys and 65-75+ percent in the mountains.
AZZ150-201415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
232 PM MST Wed Nov 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........43 to 53 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............88 to 98 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............51 to 61 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............4305 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (51660 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........40 to 50 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............81 to 91 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southeast around 10
mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............47 to 57 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............6114 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 15 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (97824 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 43 to 53.
Highs 57 to 67. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 52 to 62 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 41 to 51.
Highs 57 to 67. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 52 to 62 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 61 to 71. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 44 to 54 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 65 to 75.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 66 to 76.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-201415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
232 PM MST Wed Nov 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........38 to 48 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............89 to 99 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........49 to 59 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs.
* Min Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............4408 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (70528 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........32 to 42 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Max Humidity.............83 to 93 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............5669 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 14 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (96373 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 37 to 47.
Highs 54 to 64. Southeast wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity
50 to 60 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 36 to 46. Highs
53 to 63. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 54 to 64 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 58 to 68. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 41 to 51 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 35 to 45. Highs 63 to 73.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 64 to 74.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-201415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
232 PM MST Wed Nov 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........40 to 50 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............86 to 96 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........49 to 59 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 degs.
* Min Humidity.............65 to 75 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 30 mph becoming west
around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............3722 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 18 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (70718 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........31 to 41 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs.
* Max Humidity.............82 to 92 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........54 to 64 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 19 to 23 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............4902 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 11 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (68628 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 36 to 46.
Highs 54 to 64. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 44 to 54 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 35 to 45. Highs
52 to 62. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 52 to 62 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 32 to 42. Highs 56 to 66. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 39 to 49 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 33 to 43. Highs 60 to 70.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 60 to 70.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-201415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
232 PM MST Wed Nov 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers
likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........32 to 42 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............89 to 99 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Showers with
possible snow showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........39 to 49 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs.
* Min Humidity.............75 to 85 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 25 mph becoming west
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............2703 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 14 knots shifting to the west 15
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (40545 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........25 to 35 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Max Humidity.............84 to 94 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........43 to 53 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 29 to 33 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............3438 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 10 knots shifting to the southeast
12 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (41256 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 30 to 40.
Highs 45 to 55. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 47 to 57 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 30 to 40. Highs 42 to 52. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 64 to 74 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 26 to 36. Highs 50 to 60. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 41 to 51 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 27 to 37. Highs 53 to 63.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 28 to 38. Highs 52 to 62.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-201415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
232 PM MST Wed Nov 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........33 to 43 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Max Humidity.............88 to 98 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 30 to 35 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers, snow showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........40 to 50 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs.
* Min Humidity.............68 to 78 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 30 mph becoming west
around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............4109 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (86289 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........29 to 39 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............83 to 93 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 24 to 28 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............4700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 13 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (68150 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 34 to 44.
Highs 46 to 56. Southeast wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity
53 to 63 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 33 to 43. Highs
43 to 53. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 62 to 72 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 31 to 41. Highs 49 to 59. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 48 to 58 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 32 to 42. Highs 53 to 63.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 53 to 63.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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