Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
134
FNUS55 KTWC 011940
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1240 PM MST Wed Oct 1 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions prevail this week across southeast
Arizona. Winds generally south to southwest through this week
with speeds up to 15 mph and gusts up to 20-25 mph. Minimum RHs
between 15-25 percent through the week as a drier airmass becomes
more established across Southeast Arizona. Temperatures warming to
above normal levels by the second half of the week. Breezy
southwest winds will be present starting Friday through next
Monday, with the strongest wind gusts 30-35 mph expected Saturday.
AZZ150-021445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
1240 PM MST Wed Oct 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph in the morning
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............11023 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 7 knots shifting to the south
9 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (99207 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............12783 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 11 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (191745 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 83 to 93. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 83 to 93. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 19 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 86 to 96. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 13 to 22 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 88 to 98.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 88 to 98.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-021445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
1240 PM MST Wed Oct 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming east around 10 mph
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 5 mph increasing to
south around 20 mph after midnight.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............9895 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 10 knots shifting to the south
11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (108845 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............47 to 57 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............9921 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 11 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (148815 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 80 to 90.
Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 79 to 89. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 82 to 92. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 84 to 94.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-021445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
1240 PM MST Wed Oct 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northeast around 10
mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 5 mph increasing to around
15 mph after midnight.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............9364 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 10 knots shifting to the south 11
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (103004 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............46 to 56 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............9497 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 14 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (142455 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 80 to 90.
Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 79 to 89. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 81 to 91. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 82 to 92.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-021445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
1240 PM MST Wed Oct 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........48 to 58 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............46 to 56 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............8661 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 11 knots shifting to the south 12
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (103932 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............49 to 59 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 15 mph increasing to around
25 mph after midnight.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............9213 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 16 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (165834 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 68 to 78.
Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 67 to 77. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 70 to 80. Southeast
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 71 to 81.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 69 to 79.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-021445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
1240 PM MST Wed Oct 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........53 to 63 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming east around 10 mph
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 5 mph increasing to around
15 mph after midnight.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............9861 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 10 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (108471 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............10705 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 12 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (133812 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 70 to 80.
Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 19 to 29 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 69 to 79. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 71 to 81. South
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 73 to 83.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 71 to 81.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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