Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
962
FNUS55 KTWC 152110
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
210 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Dry and hot conditions are expected across
southeast Arizona this week. Generally single digit
min RH values in the valleys, with mountain locations in the 10-18
percent range. There are slight chances (less than 10 percent)
for dry lightning this afternoon in Cochise County. These dry
lightning chances can also bring erratic and gusty winds of 30 mph
or higher. Otherwise, 20-foot winds will be 15 mph or less from
Tucson westward, with occasional afternoon/early evening gusts to
around 20 mph due to the strong surface heating. East of Tucson,
breezy afternoon and early evening 20-foot winds are expected in
the Gila River Valley this afternoon with peak wind speeds of 12-18
mph and gusts to around 30 mph. Expect similar to slightly stronger
speeds from Tucson eastward Monday and Tuesday as a weak weather
system moves through. The strongest winds will again be in the
upper Gila River valley near Safford, with the possibility of a
few hours of near critical to brief critical fire weather
conditions.
AZZ150-161415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
210 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............12 to 20 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........102 to 112 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 15 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............13350 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 12 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (240300 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........100 to 110 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 18 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............11664 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (174960 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 101 to 111. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 5 to 13 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 104 to 114. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 8 pct.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 71 to 81. Highs 102 to 112. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 12 pct.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 97 to 107.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-161415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
210 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (20-30 pct) then becoming
clear (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 12 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............12206 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 9 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (219708 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 15 mph increasing to around
25 mph after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 15 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 30 mph decreasing to around
20 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............9164 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 15 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (174116 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 99 to 109. Southwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107. Southwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 13 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 93 to 103.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 89 to 99.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-161415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
210 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............14 to 24 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 9 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............15442 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 11 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (277956 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 11 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph increasing to around
20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 30 mph decreasing to around
20 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............12575 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 16 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (276650 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 5 to 9 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 99 to 109. East
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 9 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 98 to 108. Southeast
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 11 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 95 to 105.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 91 to 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-161415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
210 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 11 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............14122 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 17 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (268318 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............17 to 27 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 11 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph increasing to around
20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............11088 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 20 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (266112 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 5 to 8 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 89 to 99. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 6 to 9 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 88 to 98. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 8 to 14 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 85 to 95.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-161415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
210 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............15889 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 11 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (230390 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............17 to 27 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 15 mph increasing to around
25 mph after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 15 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 30 mph decreasing to around
20 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............14353 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 19 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (294236 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 89 to 99. East
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 12 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 88 to 98. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 15 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 81 to 91.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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