Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
315
FNUS55 KTWC 151106
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
406 AM MST Sun Jun 15 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Dry and hot conditions are expected across
southeast Arizona through early next week. Generally single digit
min RH values in the valleys, with mountain locations in the 10-18
percent range. There are slight chances (less than 10 percent)
for dry lightning Sunday afternoon in Cochise County. These dry
lightning chances can also bring erratic and gusty winds of 30 mph
or higher. Otherwise, 20-foot winds will be 15 mph or less from
Tucson westward, with occasional afternoon/early evening gusts to
around 20 mph due to the strong surface heating. East of Tucson,
breezy afternoon and early evening 20-foot winds are expected in
the Gila River Valley on Sunday with peak wind speeds of 12-18 mph
and gusts to around 30 mph. Expect similar to slightly stronger
speeds from Tucson eastward Monday and Tuesday as a weak weather
system moves through. The strongest winds will again be in the
upper Gila River valley near Safford, with the possibility of a
few hours of near critical to brief critical fire weather
conditions.
AZZ150-152300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
406 AM MST Sun Jun 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........105 to 115 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............4 to 10 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............16335 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northeast 6 knots shifting to the
southwest 13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (212355 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........102 to 112 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 16 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............13575 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 12 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (230775 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 99 to 109. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 17 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 101 to 111. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 5 to 14 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 103 to 113. Southwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 9 pct.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 71 to 81. Highs 101 to 111.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 97 to 107.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-152300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
406 AM MST Sun Jun 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........100 to 110 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 12 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............15775 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 6 knots shifting to the southwest
15 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (236625 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 12 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............12865 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 10 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (231570 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 94 to 104. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 15 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 99 to 109.
Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 97 to 107.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-152300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
406 AM MST Sun Jun 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny (0-10 pct) then becoming partly
cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........100 to 110 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............4 to 10 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............15575 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 6 knots shifting to the southwest
14 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (218050 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............4 to 9 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph increasing to around
20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............15438 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 11 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (277884 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 95 to 105. West wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 96 to 106. Northwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 9 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 99 to 109. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 5 to 9 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 94 to 104.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-152300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
406 AM MST Sun Jun 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 11 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............16721 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 9 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (234094 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 10 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph increasing to
west around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 10 mph increasing to around
20 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............13909 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 12 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (278180 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 85 to 95. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 10 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 5 to 8 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 89 to 99. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 6 to 9 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 87 to 97.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-152300-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
406 AM MST Sun Jun 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny (0-10 pct) then becoming partly
cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............17852 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 8 knots shifting to the southwest
14 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (249928 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............14 to 24 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............16086 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 10 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (217161 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 85 to 95. West wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 14 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 86 to 96. West wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 88 to 98. West
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 87 to 97.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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